Trader consensus on no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end reflects stalled Ukraine diplomacy after the 2025 Alaska summit, with U.S. focus shifted to the Iran conflict and limited follow-through from the July 2026 call where Putin reiterated a Moscow invitation. China’s near-even share stems from its role as a neutral venue for sensitive bilateral talks amid economic ties and past third-country precedents, while low probabilities for Russia, the U.S., or Europe highlight domestic political and security barriers. The tight spread underscores uncertainty over whether renewed negotiations or external pressures will produce a scheduled summit before December 31.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於特朗普和普京在2026年的下一次會面在哪裏?
截至12月31日無會面 52%
China 43%
Russia 2.4%
Belarus 2.2%
$764,737 交易量
$764,737 交易量

截至12月31日無會面
52%

China
43%

Russia
2%

Belarus
2%

United States
1%

Turkey
1%

Switzerland
1%

Other
<1%

Gulf country
<1%

Finland
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Australia
<1%

Japan
<1%
截至12月31日無會面 52%
China 43%
Russia 2.4%
Belarus 2.2%
$764,737 交易量
$764,737 交易量

截至12月31日無會面
52%

China
43%

Russia
2%

Belarus
2%

United States
1%

Turkey
1%

Switzerland
1%

Other
<1%

Gulf country
<1%

Finland
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Australia
<1%

Japan
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trader consensus on no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end reflects stalled Ukraine diplomacy after the 2025 Alaska summit, with U.S. focus shifted to the Iran conflict and limited follow-through from the July 2026 call where Putin reiterated a Moscow invitation. China’s near-even share stems from its role as a neutral venue for sensitive bilateral talks amid economic ties and past third-country precedents, while low probabilities for Russia, the U.S., or Europe highlight domestic political and security barriers. The tight spread underscores uncertainty over whether renewed negotiations or external pressures will produce a scheduled summit before December 31.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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