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icon for 9月18日在美国Apple App Store排名第一的免费应用?

9月18日在美国Apple App Store排名第一的免费应用?

icon for 9月18日在美国Apple App Store排名第一的免费应用?

9月18日在美国Apple App Store排名第一的免费应用?

9月 18

9月 18

ChatGPT 74%

Vinted 8%

Muse 7%

TikTok Pro - Events 1.9%

Polymarket
最新

ChatGPT 74%

Vinted 8%

Muse 7%

TikTok Pro - Events 1.9%

Polymarket
最新
icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$3,992 交易量

74%

icon for Vinted

Vinted

$238 交易量

8%

icon for Muse

Muse

$211 交易量

12%

icon for TikTok Pro - Events

TikTok Pro - Events

$286 交易量

2%

icon for Google Gemini

Google Gemini

$146 交易量

2%

icon for 谷歌地图

谷歌地图

$151 交易量

2%

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).ChatGPT's dominant position stems from its sustained #1 ranking in the US App Store throughout September 2026, driven by high download velocity, 4.8-star ratings from over 10 million users, and recent updates adding image generation, stickers, and voice features that reinforce user engagement in the productivity category. Meta's newly launched AI agent Muse climbed quickly to #2 after its early September debut but trails significantly in installs compared to ChatGPT's established scale. Apps like Vinted, Google Gemini, Google Maps, and TikTok Pro - Events occupy lower chart spots with more modest recent momentum, while the two-day window to September 18 leaves limited room for sudden shifts absent major announcements or viral events. Traders price ChatGPT's lead at 73.5% implied probability based on this consistent performance and historical stability in app store algorithms.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
交易量
$5,025
结束日期
2026-09-18
市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).ChatGPT's dominant position stems from its sustained #1 ranking in the US App Store throughout September 2026, driven by high download velocity, 4.8-star ratings from over 10 million users, and recent updates adding image generation, stickers, and voice features that reinforce user engagement in the productivity category. Meta's newly launched AI agent Muse climbed quickly to #2 after its early September debut but trails significantly in installs compared to ChatGPT's established scale. Apps like Vinted, Google Gemini, Google Maps, and TikTok Pro - Events occupy lower chart spots with more modest recent momentum, while the two-day window to September 18 leaves limited room for sudden shifts absent major announcements or viral events. Traders price ChatGPT's lead at 73.5% implied probability based on this consistent performance and historical stability in app store algorithms.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. If the chart is unavailable at 12:00 PM ET, this market may remain open for up to 48 hours to allow for the data to become available. If the data remains unavailable, this market will resolve according to the last published ranking. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
交易量
$5,025
结束日期
2026-09-18
市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 8:30 PM ET

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常见问题

"9月18日在美国Apple App Store排名第一的免费应用?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 6 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"ChatGPT",概率为 74%,其次是"Muse",概率为 12%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 74¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 74%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"9月18日在美国Apple App Store排名第一的免费应用?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Sep 11, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"9月18日在美国Apple App Store排名第一的免费应用?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 6 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"9月18日在美国Apple App Store排名第一的免费应用?"的当前领先者是"ChatGPT",概率为 74%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 74%。紧随其后的结果是"Muse",概率为 12%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"9月18日在美国Apple App Store排名第一的免费应用?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。