Recent central bank market expectations survey data released May 7, 2026, showing the median analyst forecast for 2026 Argentine inflation lifted to 30.5 percent, has anchored trader sentiment around the 30.0–34.9 percent bucket now holding 30.1 percent implied probability on Polymarket. Current year-over-year CPI stands at 32.4 percent for April 2026, reflecting ongoing disinflation from 2025 levels near 44.5 percent under sustained fiscal tightening and a stronger peso, yet month-over-month prints remain elevated above 3 percent. This positioning highlights competitive dynamics between the 25–29.9 percent and 35–39.9 percent ranges at 25.0 percent and 16.4 percent implied odds, respectively, as traders weigh sticky services inflation and potential external shocks against further monetary policy restraint ahead of mid-year data releases.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于30.0-34.9% 23.5%
25-29.9% 20%
40-44.9% 18.8%
20-24.9% 17.9%
最新
最新
2027-01-10
低于20%
7%
20-24.9%
18%
25-29.9%
27%
30.0-34.9%
30%
35–39.9%
15%
40-44.9%
19%
45%以上
7%
30.0-34.9% 23.5%
25-29.9% 20%
40-44.9% 18.8%
20-24.9% 17.9%
最新
最新
2027-01-10
低于20%
$2,516 交易量
7%
20-24.9%
$1,429 交易量
18%
25-29.9%
$1,626 交易量
27%
30.0-34.9%
$976 交易量
30%
35–39.9%
$1,121 交易量
15%
40-44.9%
$934 交易量
19%
45%以上
$1,164 交易量
7%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent central bank market expectations survey data released May 7, 2026, showing the median analyst forecast for 2026 Argentine inflation lifted to 30.5 percent, has anchored trader sentiment around the 30.0–34.9 percent bucket now holding 30.1 percent implied probability on Polymarket. Current year-over-year CPI stands at 32.4 percent for April 2026, reflecting ongoing disinflation from 2025 levels near 44.5 percent under sustained fiscal tightening and a stronger peso, yet month-over-month prints remain elevated above 3 percent. This positioning highlights competitive dynamics between the 25–29.9 percent and 35–39.9 percent ranges at 25.0 percent and 16.4 percent implied odds, respectively, as traders weigh sticky services inflation and potential external shocks against further monetary policy restraint ahead of mid-year data releases.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间： Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
交易量
$9,766结束日期
2027-01-10市场开放时间
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent central bank market expectations survey data released May 7, 2026, showing the median analyst forecast for 2026 Argentine inflation lifted to 30.5 percent, has anchored trader sentiment around the 30.0–34.9 percent bucket now holding 30.1 percent implied probability on Polymarket. Current year-over-year CPI stands at 32.4 percent for April 2026, reflecting ongoing disinflation from 2025 levels near 44.5 percent under sustained fiscal tightening and a stronger peso, yet month-over-month prints remain elevated above 3 percent. This positioning highlights competitive dynamics between the 25–29.9 percent and 35–39.9 percent ranges at 25.0 percent and 16.4 percent implied odds, respectively, as traders weigh sticky services inflation and potential external shocks against further monetary policy restraint ahead of mid-year data releases.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$9,766结束日期
2027-01-10市场开放时间
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent central bank market expectations survey data released May 7, 2026, showing the median analyst forecast for 2026 Argentine inflation lifted to 30.5 percent, has anchored trader sentiment around the 30.0–34.9 percent bucket now holding 30.1 percent implied probability on Polymarket. Current year-over-year CPI stands at 32.4 percent for April 2026, reflecting ongoing disinflation from 2025 levels near 44.5 percent under sustained fiscal tightening and a stronger peso, yet month-over-month prints remain elevated above 3 percent. This positioning highlights competitive dynamics between the 25–29.9 percent and 35–39.9 percent ranges at 25.0 percent and 16.4 percent implied odds, respectively, as traders weigh sticky services inflation and potential external shocks against further monetary policy restraint ahead of mid-year data releases.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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