The fragmented Brazilian right keeps the race for third place in the October 2026 first round tightly contested, with trader consensus assigning Romeu Zema a narrow lead over Renan Santos and Ronaldo Caiado. Zema benefits from strong name recognition as governor of Minas Gerais and Novo party backing, while Santos gains traction through the Free Brazil Movement and Mission Party leadership. Caiado’s PSD nomination in late March adds another contender splitting conservative support. Recent national polls show these candidates clustered in low single digits behind front-runners Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro, underscoring how vote fragmentation among right-leaning blocs sustains the close margins and leaves room for shifts from upcoming surveys or candidate withdrawals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于雷南·桑托斯 32%
罗梅乌·泽马 28%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多 18%
米歇尔·博索纳罗 4.7%
$282,751 交易量
$282,751 交易量
2026-10-04
雷南·桑托斯
32%
罗梅乌·泽马
34%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多
18%
米歇尔·博索纳罗
5%
费尔南多·阿达
4%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
3%
卡米洛·桑塔纳
1%
路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦
1%
杰拉尔多·阿尔克明
1%
特雷莎·克里斯蒂娜
1%
爱德华多·莱特
1%
雅伊尔·博尔索纳罗
1%
塔西西奥·德·弗雷塔斯
<1%
爱德华多·博尔索纳罗
<1%
哈金纽·儒尼奥尔
<1%
埃尔德·巴尔巴略
<1%
阿尔多·雷贝洛
<1%
雷南·桑托斯 32%
罗梅乌·泽马 28%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多 18%
米歇尔·博索纳罗 4.7%
$282,751 交易量
$282,751 交易量
2026-10-04
雷南·桑托斯
$63,824 交易量
32%
罗梅乌·泽马
$10,778 交易量
34%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多
$16,763 交易量
18%
米歇尔·博索纳罗
$4,817 交易量
5%
费尔南多·阿达
$14,354 交易量
4%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
$7,036 交易量
3%
卡米洛·桑塔纳
$6,116 交易量
1%
路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦
$5,286 交易量
1%
杰拉尔多·阿尔克明
$4,260 交易量
1%
特雷莎·克里斯蒂娜
$654 交易量
1%
爱德华多·莱特
$2,559 交易量
1%
雅伊尔·博尔索纳罗
$4,092 交易量
1%
塔西西奥·德·弗雷塔斯
$4,328 交易量
<1%
爱德华多·博尔索纳罗
$39,622 交易量
<1%
哈金纽·儒尼奥尔
$93,373 交易量
<1%
埃尔德·巴尔巴略
$354 交易量
<1%
阿尔多·雷贝洛
$4,536 交易量
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).The fragmented Brazilian right keeps the race for third place in the October 2026 first round tightly contested, with trader consensus assigning Romeu Zema a narrow lead over Renan Santos and Ronaldo Caiado. Zema benefits from strong name recognition as governor of Minas Gerais and Novo party backing, while Santos gains traction through the Free Brazil Movement and Mission Party leadership. Caiado’s PSD nomination in late March adds another contender splitting conservative support. Recent national polls show these candidates clustered in low single digits behind front-runners Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro, underscoring how vote fragmentation among right-leaning blocs sustains the close margins and leaves room for shifts from upcoming surveys or candidate withdrawals.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市场开放时间： Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
交易量
$282,751结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).The fragmented Brazilian right keeps the race for third place in the October 2026 first round tightly contested, with trader consensus assigning Romeu Zema a narrow lead over Renan Santos and Ronaldo Caiado. Zema benefits from strong name recognition as governor of Minas Gerais and Novo party backing, while Santos gains traction through the Free Brazil Movement and Mission Party leadership. Caiado’s PSD nomination in late March adds another contender splitting conservative support. Recent national polls show these candidates clustered in low single digits behind front-runners Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro, underscoring how vote fragmentation among right-leaning blocs sustains the close margins and leaves room for shifts from upcoming surveys or candidate withdrawals.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$282,751结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The fragmented Brazilian right keeps the race for third place in the October 2026 first round tightly contested, with trader consensus assigning Romeu Zema a narrow lead over Renan Santos and Ronaldo Caiado. Zema benefits from strong name recognition as governor of Minas Gerais and Novo party backing, while Santos gains traction through the Free Brazil Movement and Mission Party leadership. Caiado’s PSD nomination in late March adds another contender splitting conservative support. Recent national polls show these candidates clustered in low single digits behind front-runners Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro, underscoring how vote fragmentation among right-leaning blocs sustains the close margins and leaves room for shifts from upcoming surveys or candidate withdrawals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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