Erdoğan's constitutional term runs through 2028 following his 2023 reelection, with the next scheduled presidential and parliamentary elections set for May 2028. The ruling AKP and its MHP ally have repeatedly stated there are no plans for snap elections before then, and the parliamentary supermajorities needed for constitutional amendments or early polls that could enable a third term remain absent. Opposition fragmentation has accelerated after a May 2026 court ruling ousted CHP leader Özgür Özel, further reducing immediate pressure for leadership change. While reports note the 72-year-old president's age and occasional health speculation, no acute developments have altered his incumbency through the end of 2026. These structural and political factors underpin the trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% implied probability for "No."
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
7% 概率
$607,826 交易量
$607,826 交易量
2026-12-31
赚 3.25% 收益
是
7% 概率
$607,826 交易量
$607,826 交易量
2026-12-31
赚 3.25% 收益
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Erdoğan's constitutional term runs through 2028 following his 2023 reelection, with the next scheduled presidential and parliamentary elections set for May 2028. The ruling AKP and its MHP ally have repeatedly stated there are no plans for snap elections before then, and the parliamentary supermajorities needed for constitutional amendments or early polls that could enable a third term remain absent. Opposition fragmentation has accelerated after a May 2026 court ruling ousted CHP leader Özgür Özel, further reducing immediate pressure for leadership change. While reports note the 72-year-old president's age and occasional health speculation, no acute developments have altered his incumbency through the end of 2026. These structural and political factors underpin the trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% implied probability for "No."
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
交易量
$607,826结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETWe anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Erdoğan's constitutional term runs through 2028 following his 2023 reelection, with the next scheduled presidential and parliamentary elections set for May 2028. The ruling AKP and its MHP ally have repeatedly stated there are no plans for snap elections before then, and the parliamentary supermajorities needed for constitutional amendments or early polls that could enable a third term remain absent. Opposition fragmentation has accelerated after a May 2026 court ruling ousted CHP leader Özgür Özel, further reducing immediate pressure for leadership change. While reports note the 72-year-old president's age and occasional health speculation, no acute developments have altered his incumbency through the end of 2026. These structural and political factors underpin the trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% implied probability for "No."
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$607,826结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETWe anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Erdoğan's constitutional term runs through 2028 following his 2023 reelection, with the next scheduled presidential and parliamentary elections set for May 2028. The ruling AKP and its MHP ally have repeatedly stated there are no plans for snap elections before then, and the parliamentary supermajorities needed for constitutional amendments or early polls that could enable a third term remain absent. Opposition fragmentation has accelerated after a May 2026 court ruling ousted CHP leader Özgür Özel, further reducing immediate pressure for leadership change. While reports note the 72-year-old president's age and occasional health speculation, no acute developments have altered his incumbency through the end of 2026. These structural and political factors underpin the trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% implied probability for "No."
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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