Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's current term under the executive presidential system extends through May 2028, with the next election scheduled no later than then unless a snap election is called by parliament or the president. Trader consensus at 89.5% on "No" reflects the absence of recent catalysts for an early exit, as opposition CHP's April push to force polls in May or June fizzled without parliamentary support. Erdoğan remains active, declaring 2026 the "year of reform" in January and emphasizing Turkey's NATO autonomy in a May 11 address amid ongoing 2025–2026 protests. While health rumors and succession speculation circulated earlier this year, no verified developments signal resignation, impeachment, or incapacity before year-end, though a no-confidence trigger or major scandal could shift odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$348,914 交易量
$348,914 交易量
是
$348,914 交易量
$348,914 交易量
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's current term under the executive presidential system extends through May 2028, with the next election scheduled no later than then unless a snap election is called by parliament or the president. Trader consensus at 89.5% on "No" reflects the absence of recent catalysts for an early exit, as opposition CHP's April push to force polls in May or June fizzled without parliamentary support. Erdoğan remains active, declaring 2026 the "year of reform" in January and emphasizing Turkey's NATO autonomy in a May 11 address amid ongoing 2025–2026 protests. While health rumors and succession speculation circulated earlier this year, no verified developments signal resignation, impeachment, or incapacity before year-end, though a no-confidence trigger or major scandal could shift odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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