Recent Q1 2026 data showing just 0.1% quarter-on-quarter Eurozone GDP growth, down from 0.2% in Q4 2025, has kept near-term expansion expectations subdued and explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 0.0-0.3% and 1.6-1.9% brackets at 45.5% and 45.0% respectively. Traders are weighing a modest rebound signaled by improving manufacturing PMI readings and nowcasts projecting +0.3% quarterly growth against persistent headwinds from elevated energy costs and soft domestic demand. With several outcomes trading within a narrow band, the distribution highlights how incoming May and June indicators on industrial production, retail sales, and labor market conditions could shift probabilities ahead of the official Q2 release expected in late July.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于0.0-0.3% 47%
<0.0% 45%
1.2-1.5% 45%
0.8-1.1% 45%
最新
最新
2026-07-30
<0.0%
45%
0.0-0.3%
47%
0.4-0.7%
26%
0.8-1.1%
45%
1.2-1.5%
45%
1.6-1.9%
46%
2.0%+
45%
0.0-0.3% 47%
<0.0% 45%
1.2-1.5% 45%
0.8-1.1% 45%
最新
最新
2026-07-30
<0.0%
$0 交易量
45%
0.0-0.3%
$0 交易量
47%
0.4-0.7%
$0 交易量
26%
0.8-1.1%
$0 交易量
45%
1.2-1.5%
$0 交易量
45%
1.6-1.9%
$20 交易量
46%
2.0%+
$0 交易量
45%
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q2 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Q1 2026 data showing just 0.1% quarter-on-quarter Eurozone GDP growth, down from 0.2% in Q4 2025, has kept near-term expansion expectations subdued and explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 0.0-0.3% and 1.6-1.9% brackets at 45.5% and 45.0% respectively. Traders are weighing a modest rebound signaled by improving manufacturing PMI readings and nowcasts projecting +0.3% quarterly growth against persistent headwinds from elevated energy costs and soft domestic demand. With several outcomes trading within a narrow band, the distribution highlights how incoming May and June indicators on industrial production, retail sales, and labor market conditions could shift probabilities ahead of the official Q2 release expected in late July.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q2 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 4, 2026, 11:40 AM ET
交易量
$20结束日期
2026-07-30市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 11:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q2 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Q1 2026 data showing just 0.1% quarter-on-quarter Eurozone GDP growth, down from 0.2% in Q4 2025, has kept near-term expansion expectations subdued and explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 0.0-0.3% and 1.6-1.9% brackets at 45.5% and 45.0% respectively. Traders are weighing a modest rebound signaled by improving manufacturing PMI readings and nowcasts projecting +0.3% quarterly growth against persistent headwinds from elevated energy costs and soft domestic demand. With several outcomes trading within a narrow band, the distribution highlights how incoming May and June indicators on industrial production, retail sales, and labor market conditions could shift probabilities ahead of the official Q2 release expected in late July.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q2 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$20结束日期
2026-07-30市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 11:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Q1 2026 data showing just 0.1% quarter-on-quarter Eurozone GDP growth, down from 0.2% in Q4 2025, has kept near-term expansion expectations subdued and explains why market-implied odds cluster tightly around the 0.0-0.3% and 1.6-1.9% brackets at 45.5% and 45.0% respectively. Traders are weighing a modest rebound signaled by improving manufacturing PMI readings and nowcasts projecting +0.3% quarterly growth against persistent headwinds from elevated energy costs and soft domestic demand. With several outcomes trading within a narrow band, the distribution highlights how incoming May and June indicators on industrial production, retail sales, and labor market conditions could shift probabilities ahead of the official Q2 release expected in late July.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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