Official temperature observations from Dutch meteorological stations, including those operated under KNMI protocols, recorded a maximum of 23°C in Amsterdam on August 16, establishing a clear data point that underpins the market's 99.9% implied probability for this outcome. With the date now past, verified hourly readings and daily summaries leave minimal room for revision, as surface air temperature measurements follow standardized methods with low uncertainty ranges. Historical August averages for the region hover near 21–22°C, making this reading consistent with typical late-summer conditions absent heatwave drivers. The only realistic challenges would involve post-hoc station calibration adjustments or disputes over exact measurement timing, though such revisions are rare and would require official agency confirmation before altering resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日阿姆斯特丹气温最高?
23°C 99.8%
$82,108 交易量
$82,108 交易量
23°C
100%
23°C 99.8%
$82,108 交易量
$82,108 交易量
23°C
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official temperature observations from Dutch meteorological stations, including those operated under KNMI protocols, recorded a maximum of 23°C in Amsterdam on August 16, establishing a clear data point that underpins the market's 99.9% implied probability for this outcome. With the date now past, verified hourly readings and daily summaries leave minimal room for revision, as surface air temperature measurements follow standardized methods with low uncertainty ranges. Historical August averages for the region hover near 21–22°C, making this reading consistent with typical late-summer conditions absent heatwave drivers. The only realistic challenges would involve post-hoc station calibration adjustments or disputes over exact measurement timing, though such revisions are rare and would require official agency confirmation before altering resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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