Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a maximum of 11–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 10, aligning with the market’s concentration on those outcomes. Wintertime conditions under a developing El Niño episode, which favors warmer-than-average temperatures across much of South America during June–August, have kept daytime highs near or slightly above the 12.9°C August climatological mean. Short-range model consensus and latest observational trends show limited diurnal warming under mostly clear to scattered skies and light winds, reducing the chance of significant deviation. Resolution will hinge on the official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional reading at the reference station, with any late adjustments to the forecast capable of shifting probabilities between the narrow 11–13°C band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月10日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
8月10日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
12°C 50%
13°C 35%
11°C 11%
14°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
7°C或以下
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
3%
11°C
11%
12°C
50%
13°C
35%
14°C
5%
15°C
2%
16°C
<1%
17°C或更高
<1%
12°C 50%
13°C 35%
11°C 11%
14°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
7°C或以下
$134 交易量
<1%
8°C
$329 交易量
1%
9°C
$115 交易量
1%
10°C
$129 交易量
3%
11°C
$166 交易量
11%
12°C
$619 交易量
50%
13°C
$827 交易量
35%
14°C
$190 交易量
5%
15°C
$115 交易量
2%
16°C
$133 交易量
<1%
17°C或更高
$534 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a maximum of 11–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 10, aligning with the market’s concentration on those outcomes. Wintertime conditions under a developing El Niño episode, which favors warmer-than-average temperatures across much of South America during June–August, have kept daytime highs near or slightly above the 12.9°C August climatological mean. Short-range model consensus and latest observational trends show limited diurnal warming under mostly clear to scattered skies and light winds, reducing the chance of significant deviation. Resolution will hinge on the official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional reading at the reference station, with any late adjustments to the forecast capable of shifting probabilities between the narrow 11–13°C band.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$3,291结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a maximum of 11–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 10, aligning with the market’s concentration on those outcomes. Wintertime conditions under a developing El Niño episode, which favors warmer-than-average temperatures across much of South America during June–August, have kept daytime highs near or slightly above the 12.9°C August climatological mean. Short-range model consensus and latest observational trends show limited diurnal warming under mostly clear to scattered skies and light winds, reducing the chance of significant deviation. Resolution will hinge on the official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional reading at the reference station, with any late adjustments to the forecast capable of shifting probabilities between the narrow 11–13°C band.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,291结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 9:03 PM ETRecent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a maximum of 11–13°C in Buenos Aires on August 10, aligning with the market’s concentration on those outcomes. Wintertime conditions under a developing El Niño episode, which favors warmer-than-average temperatures across much of South America during June–August, have kept daytime highs near or slightly above the 12.9°C August climatological mean. Short-range model consensus and latest observational trends show limited diurnal warming under mostly clear to scattered skies and light winds, reducing the chance of significant deviation. Resolution will hinge on the official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional reading at the reference station, with any late adjustments to the forecast capable of shifting probabilities between the narrow 11–13°C band.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题