**Forecast consensus from official sources like the National Weather Service and models points to a high in the upper 70s for Chicago on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market's leading bins at 76-77°F (46.5% implied probability) and 78-79°F (34.5%).** Persistent northwest winds under high pressure are advecting cooler air from the north, with partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating. Lake Michigan's moderating influence is expected to keep shoreline areas in the mid-70s while inland spots reach the upper 70s, per NWS guidance. This setup follows a cooler-than-normal period, with recent observations showing highs in the mid-70s on August 23. Models show limited spread, with minimal risk of significant warming or cooling shifts before resolution. The outcome remains below the long-term August 24 average high near 82°F, reflecting the current stable, non-summerlike pattern rather than any extreme deviation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于芝加哥8月24日最高温度？
芝加哥8月24日最高温度？
76-77°F 49%
78-79°F 36%
74-75°F 10%
80-81°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
69°F或以下
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
49%
78-79°F
36%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F或更高
<1%
76-77°F 49%
78-79°F 36%
74-75°F 10%
80-81°F 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
69°F或以下
$117 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$112 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$88 交易量
3%
74-75°F
$270 交易量
10%
76-77°F
$1,360 交易量
49%
78-79°F
$213 交易量
36%
80-81°F
$260 交易量
6%
82-83°F
$133 交易量
2%
84-85°F
$73 交易量
2%
86-87°F
$104 交易量
<1%
88°F或更高
$124 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from official sources like the National Weather Service and models points to a high in the upper 70s for Chicago on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market's leading bins at 76-77°F (46.5% implied probability) and 78-79°F (34.5%).**
Persistent northwest winds under high pressure are advecting cooler air from the north, with partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating. Lake Michigan's moderating influence is expected to keep shoreline areas in the mid-70s while inland spots reach the upper 70s, per NWS guidance. This setup follows a cooler-than-normal period, with recent observations showing highs in the mid-70s on August 23.
Models show limited spread, with minimal risk of significant warming or cooling shifts before resolution. The outcome remains below the long-term August 24 average high near 82°F, reflecting the current stable, non-summerlike pattern rather than any extreme deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$2,855结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from official sources like the National Weather Service and models points to a high in the upper 70s for Chicago on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market's leading bins at 76-77°F (46.5% implied probability) and 78-79°F (34.5%).**
Persistent northwest winds under high pressure are advecting cooler air from the north, with partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating. Lake Michigan's moderating influence is expected to keep shoreline areas in the mid-70s while inland spots reach the upper 70s, per NWS guidance. This setup follows a cooler-than-normal period, with recent observations showing highs in the mid-70s on August 23.
Models show limited spread, with minimal risk of significant warming or cooling shifts before resolution. The outcome remains below the long-term August 24 average high near 82°F, reflecting the current stable, non-summerlike pattern rather than any extreme deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,855结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET**Forecast consensus from official sources like the National Weather Service and models points to a high in the upper 70s for Chicago on August 24, 2026, aligning with the market's leading bins at 76-77°F (46.5% implied probability) and 78-79°F (34.5%).** Persistent northwest winds under high pressure are advecting cooler air from the north, with partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating. Lake Michigan's moderating influence is expected to keep shoreline areas in the mid-70s while inland spots reach the upper 70s, per NWS guidance. This setup follows a cooler-than-normal period, with recent observations showing highs in the mid-70s on August 23. Models show limited spread, with minimal risk of significant warming or cooling shifts before resolution. The outcome remains below the long-term August 24 average high near 82°F, reflecting the current stable, non-summerlike pattern rather than any extreme deviation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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