Recent National Weather Service model consensus and ensemble runs indicate a cooler-than-average air mass arriving via northerly flow behind a weak frontal boundary, driving trader focus on the 56–59°F range as the most likely overnight low for Chicago on August 24. Mid-level ridging suppression and clear skies favoring strong radiational cooling differentiate these bins from warmer outcomes, while variable wind speeds and boundary-layer moisture content introduce spread that supports the 26.5% implied probability on 47°F or below in some solutions. Historical August climatology shows typical lows near 65°F, underscoring the current setup's departure and the role of short-range forecast updates in refining resolution criteria.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日芝加哥最低气温？
8月24日芝加哥最低气温？
47°F或以下 53%
66°F或以上 49%
58-59°F 37%
56-57°F 29%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
47°F或以下
53%
48-49°F
3%
50-51°F
10%
52-53°F
16%
54-55°F
20%
56-57°F
29%
58-59°F
33%
60-61°F
12%
62-63°F
11%
64-65°F
1%
66°F或以上
49%
47°F或以下 53%
66°F或以上 49%
58-59°F 37%
56-57°F 29%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
47°F或以下
$12 交易量
53%
48-49°F
$55 交易量
3%
50-51°F
$55 交易量
10%
52-53°F
$885 交易量
16%
54-55°F
$0 交易量
20%
56-57°F
$0 交易量
29%
58-59°F
$5 交易量
33%
60-61°F
$0 交易量
12%
62-63°F
$0 交易量
11%
64-65°F
$90 交易量
1%
66°F或以上
$85 交易量
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model consensus and ensemble runs indicate a cooler-than-average air mass arriving via northerly flow behind a weak frontal boundary, driving trader focus on the 56–59°F range as the most likely overnight low for Chicago on August 24. Mid-level ridging suppression and clear skies favoring strong radiational cooling differentiate these bins from warmer outcomes, while variable wind speeds and boundary-layer moisture content introduce spread that supports the 26.5% implied probability on 47°F or below in some solutions. Historical August climatology shows typical lows near 65°F, underscoring the current setup's departure and the role of short-range forecast updates in refining resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
交易量
$1,187结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service model consensus and ensemble runs indicate a cooler-than-average air mass arriving via northerly flow behind a weak frontal boundary, driving trader focus on the 56–59°F range as the most likely overnight low for Chicago on August 24. Mid-level ridging suppression and clear skies favoring strong radiational cooling differentiate these bins from warmer outcomes, while variable wind speeds and boundary-layer moisture content introduce spread that supports the 26.5% implied probability on 47°F or below in some solutions. Historical August climatology shows typical lows near 65°F, underscoring the current setup's departure and the role of short-range forecast updates in refining resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,187结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETRecent National Weather Service model consensus and ensemble runs indicate a cooler-than-average air mass arriving via northerly flow behind a weak frontal boundary, driving trader focus on the 56–59°F range as the most likely overnight low for Chicago on August 24. Mid-level ridging suppression and clear skies favoring strong radiational cooling differentiate these bins from warmer outcomes, while variable wind speeds and boundary-layer moisture content introduce spread that supports the 26.5% implied probability on 47°F or below in some solutions. Historical August climatology shows typical lows near 65°F, underscoring the current setup's departure and the role of short-range forecast updates in refining resolution criteria.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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