Recent official forecasts from meteorological agencies, including the Met Office and regional models, project a daily maximum of 36°C for Chongqing on August 12 under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions typical for mid-August. This aligns with historical climatological averages for the city’s hottest month, where highs frequently reach the mid-30s amid high humidity. Trader consensus has consolidated at this level because current observational data and short-range model runs show limited variability, with steering patterns and minimal convective activity expected to hold temperatures steady. While the implied probability exceeds 90%, realistic shifts could arise from late-day thunderstorm development or revised local station measurements deviating by 1–2°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月12日重庆气温最高？
8月12日重庆气温最高？
36°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$71,556 交易量
$71,556 交易量
2026-08-12
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$71,556 交易量
$71,556 交易量
2026-08-12
31°C or below
$3,056 交易量
No
32°C
$2,335 交易量
No
33°C
$3,243 交易量
No
34°C
$11,826 交易量
No
35°C
$5,864 交易量
No
36°C
$11,901 交易量
Yes
37°C
$10,277 交易量
No
38°C
$9,076 交易量
No
39°C
$6,547 交易量
No
40°C
$2,051 交易量
No
41°C or higher
$5,379 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from meteorological agencies, including the Met Office and regional models, project a daily maximum of 36°C for Chongqing on August 12 under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions typical for mid-August. This aligns with historical climatological averages for the city’s hottest month, where highs frequently reach the mid-30s amid high humidity. Trader consensus has consolidated at this level because current observational data and short-range model runs show limited variability, with steering patterns and minimal convective activity expected to hold temperatures steady. While the implied probability exceeds 90%, realistic shifts could arise from late-day thunderstorm development or revised local station measurements deviating by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$71,556结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from meteorological agencies, including the Met Office and regional models, project a daily maximum of 36°C for Chongqing on August 12 under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions typical for mid-August. This aligns with historical climatological averages for the city’s hottest month, where highs frequently reach the mid-30s amid high humidity. Trader consensus has consolidated at this level because current observational data and short-range model runs show limited variability, with steering patterns and minimal convective activity expected to hold temperatures steady. While the implied probability exceeds 90%, realistic shifts could arise from late-day thunderstorm development or revised local station measurements deviating by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$71,556结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Recent official forecasts from meteorological agencies, including the Met Office and regional models, project a daily maximum of 36°C for Chongqing on August 12 under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions typical for mid-August. This aligns with historical climatological averages for the city’s hottest month, where highs frequently reach the mid-30s amid high humidity. Trader consensus has consolidated at this level because current observational data and short-range model runs show limited variability, with steering patterns and minimal convective activity expected to hold temperatures steady. While the implied probability exceeds 90%, realistic shifts could arise from late-day thunderstorm development or revised local station measurements deviating by 1–2°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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