Current National Weather Service guidance points to a Monday high near 94 °F for Denver, with mostly sunny morning conditions giving way to scattered afternoon thunderstorms that could slightly limit peak heating. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 90–93 °F bins, reflecting model consensus on diurnal warming under a late-August pattern of above-normal temperatures moderated by seasonal cooling trends and variable moisture. Thunderstorm timing remains the key uncertainty: earlier or stronger convection would favor the lower end of the favored range, while clearer skies would support readings closer to 93 °F. No major pattern shifts are indicated in the latest runs, keeping trader sentiment anchored to these official forecasts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日丹佛最高温度?
90-91°F 51%
92-93°F 31%
88-89°F 11%
94-95°F 6%
79°F或以下
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
51%
92-93°F
31%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
2%
98°F或更高
2%
90-91°F 51%
92-93°F 31%
88-89°F 11%
94-95°F 6%
79°F或以下
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
51%
92-93°F
31%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
2%
98°F或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service guidance points to a Monday high near 94 °F for Denver, with mostly sunny morning conditions giving way to scattered afternoon thunderstorms that could slightly limit peak heating. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 90–93 °F bins, reflecting model consensus on diurnal warming under a late-August pattern of above-normal temperatures moderated by seasonal cooling trends and variable moisture. Thunderstorm timing remains the key uncertainty: earlier or stronger convection would favor the lower end of the favored range, while clearer skies would support readings closer to 93 °F. No major pattern shifts are indicated in the latest runs, keeping trader sentiment anchored to these official forecasts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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