Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and global models project a high near 30°C in Jinan on August 31 under mostly sunny skies with light northerly winds and no significant precipitation, directly supporting the 96.5% market-implied odds for 26°C or higher. This aligns with late-August climatology where average highs reach 30–31°C and follows a recent cooling trend after earlier heat. Clear conditions and stable high pressure reinforce trader confidence in the outcome. A sudden increase in cloud cover or an unanticipated wind shift could lower readings, though short-range model consensus remains strong with limited uncertainty this close to the date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日济南气温最高?
26°C or higher 99.4%
25°C 1.0%
24°C <1%
21°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
99%
26°C or higher 99.4%
25°C 1.0%
24°C <1%
21°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 30, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological services and global models project a high near 30°C in Jinan on August 31 under mostly sunny skies with light northerly winds and no significant precipitation, directly supporting the 96.5% market-implied odds for 26°C or higher. This aligns with late-August climatology where average highs reach 30–31°C and follows a recent cooling trend after earlier heat. Clear conditions and stable high pressure reinforce trader confidence in the outcome. A sudden increase in cloud cover or an unanticipated wind shift could lower readings, though short-range model consensus remains strong with limited uncertainty this close to the date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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