**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and thunderstorm activity are the main drivers capping maximum temperatures in Lucknow on September 11.** Official forecasts from multiple sources, including the India Meteorological Department and global models, indicate a high probability of widespread rain and storms that day, with totals around 5 mm and 70-90% precipitation chances. These conditions reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping highs most likely between 31-32°C—aligning closely with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes (36.5% for 32°C, 28% for 31°C). Slight model differences in storm timing and intensity create the narrow spread to 33°C (19.5%), while historical September baselines near 34°C are moderated this year by active monsoon flow and above-normal regional rainfall. New forecast updates from the IMD and refined model runs in the next 24-48 hours will be key for traders assessing any late shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日勒克瑙气温最高？
9月11日勒克瑙气温最高？
32°C 37%
31°C 28%
33°C 20%
34°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
26°C或以下
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
8%
31°C
28%
32°C
37%
33°C
20%
34°C
10%
35°C
2%
36°C或更高
1%
32°C 37%
31°C 28%
33°C 20%
34°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
26°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
27°C
$0 交易量
1%
28°C
$0 交易量
3%
29°C
$0 交易量
4%
30°C
$0 交易量
8%
31°C
$25 交易量
28%
32°C
$46 交易量
37%
33°C
$8 交易量
20%
34°C
$11 交易量
10%
35°C
$57 交易量
2%
36°C或更高
$105 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and thunderstorm activity are the main drivers capping maximum temperatures in Lucknow on September 11.** Official forecasts from multiple sources, including the India Meteorological Department and global models, indicate a high probability of widespread rain and storms that day, with totals around 5 mm and 70-90% precipitation chances. These conditions reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping highs most likely between 31-32°C—aligning closely with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes (36.5% for 32°C, 28% for 31°C).
Slight model differences in storm timing and intensity create the narrow spread to 33°C (19.5%), while historical September baselines near 34°C are moderated this year by active monsoon flow and above-normal regional rainfall. New forecast updates from the IMD and refined model runs in the next 24-48 hours will be key for traders assessing any late shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$252结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and thunderstorm activity are the main drivers capping maximum temperatures in Lucknow on September 11.** Official forecasts from multiple sources, including the India Meteorological Department and global models, indicate a high probability of widespread rain and storms that day, with totals around 5 mm and 70-90% precipitation chances. These conditions reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping highs most likely between 31-32°C—aligning closely with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes (36.5% for 32°C, 28% for 31°C).
Slight model differences in storm timing and intensity create the narrow spread to 33°C (19.5%), while historical September baselines near 34°C are moderated this year by active monsoon flow and above-normal regional rainfall. New forecast updates from the IMD and refined model runs in the next 24-48 hours will be key for traders assessing any late shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$252结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Monsoon-driven cloud cover and thunderstorm activity are the main drivers capping maximum temperatures in Lucknow on September 11.** Official forecasts from multiple sources, including the India Meteorological Department and global models, indicate a high probability of widespread rain and storms that day, with totals around 5 mm and 70-90% precipitation chances. These conditions reduce solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping highs most likely between 31-32°C—aligning closely with the market's tight clustering around those outcomes (36.5% for 32°C, 28% for 31°C). Slight model differences in storm timing and intensity create the narrow spread to 33°C (19.5%), while historical September baselines near 34°C are moderated this year by active monsoon flow and above-normal regional rainfall. New forecast updates from the IMD and refined model runs in the next 24-48 hours will be key for traders assessing any late shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题