Current forecasts for Mexico City on August 20 center on a high near 24–26°C (roughly 75–79°F), aligning with the market's leading probabilities for 25°C and 26°C. This reflects the subtropical highland climate's typical August pattern, where the rainy season brings afternoon convection and cloud cover that moderates daytime peaks below the seasonal average of about 24°C. Recent model guidance shows scattered showers and overcast conditions limiting solar heating, consistent with historical analogs of light winds and high humidity capping extremes. Traders appear to weight ensemble consensus from sources like the GFS and local observations, which indicate low likelihood of exceeding 27°C absent a clear break in the monsoon flow. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月20日墨西哥城气温最高？
8月20日墨西哥城气温最高？
25°C 51%
26°C 24%
24°C 18%
27°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
8%
24°C
18%
25°C
51%
26°C
24%
27°C
9%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C或以上
1%
25°C 51%
26°C 24%
24°C 18%
27°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
20°C或以下
$108 交易量
<1%
21°C
$122 交易量
1%
22°C
$49 交易量
2%
23°C
$62 交易量
8%
24°C
$1 交易量
18%
25°C
$37 交易量
51%
26°C
$6 交易量
24%
27°C
$86 交易量
9%
28°C
$29 交易量
5%
29°C
$32 交易量
1%
30°C或以上
$45 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Mexico City on August 20 center on a high near 24–26°C (roughly 75–79°F), aligning with the market's leading probabilities for 25°C and 26°C. This reflects the subtropical highland climate's typical August pattern, where the rainy season brings afternoon convection and cloud cover that moderates daytime peaks below the seasonal average of about 24°C. Recent model guidance shows scattered showers and overcast conditions limiting solar heating, consistent with historical analogs of light winds and high humidity capping extremes. Traders appear to weight ensemble consensus from sources like the GFS and local observations, which indicate low likelihood of exceeding 27°C absent a clear break in the monsoon flow. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 18, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
交易量
$577结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 9:57 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Mexico City on August 20 center on a high near 24–26°C (roughly 75–79°F), aligning with the market's leading probabilities for 25°C and 26°C. This reflects the subtropical highland climate's typical August pattern, where the rainy season brings afternoon convection and cloud cover that moderates daytime peaks below the seasonal average of about 24°C. Recent model guidance shows scattered showers and overcast conditions limiting solar heating, consistent with historical analogs of light winds and high humidity capping extremes. Traders appear to weight ensemble consensus from sources like the GFS and local observations, which indicate low likelihood of exceeding 27°C absent a clear break in the monsoon flow. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$577结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 9:57 PM ETCurrent forecasts for Mexico City on August 20 center on a high near 24–26°C (roughly 75–79°F), aligning with the market's leading probabilities for 25°C and 26°C. This reflects the subtropical highland climate's typical August pattern, where the rainy season brings afternoon convection and cloud cover that moderates daytime peaks below the seasonal average of about 24°C. Recent model guidance shows scattered showers and overcast conditions limiting solar heating, consistent with historical analogs of light winds and high humidity capping extremes. Traders appear to weight ensemble consensus from sources like the GFS and local observations, which indicate low likelihood of exceeding 27°C absent a clear break in the monsoon flow. Updated model runs over the next 24 hours will likely refine these implied odds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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