Persistent heatwave conditions across northern Italy, reinforced by a strong high-pressure system, drove Milan’s peak temperature to 35°C on August 16, aligning with ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models that projected surface maxima near 34–35°C amid typical Po Valley humidity and urban heat-island effects. Official monitoring confirmed this value exceeded the seasonal 28–30°C baseline without significant cloud cover or instability to suppress readings. The market’s 100% consensus on 35°C reflects this convergence of verified observations and model agreement, though minor revisions in station data or micro-scale variations could theoretically shift resolution if post-event quality checks alter the official high.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日米兰的最高温度？
8月16日米兰的最高温度？
35°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$41,136 交易量
$41,136 交易量
2026-08-16
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$41,136 交易量
$41,136 交易量
2026-08-16
31°C or below
$1,501 交易量
No
32°C
$1,453 交易量
No
33°C
$4,062 交易量
No
34°C
$11,761 交易量
No
35°C
$13,692 交易量
Yes
36°C
$4,446 交易量
No
37°C
$2,538 交易量
No
38°C
$684 交易量
No
39°C
$268 交易量
No
40°C
$268 交易量
No
41°C or higher
$464 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions across northern Italy, reinforced by a strong high-pressure system, drove Milan’s peak temperature to 35°C on August 16, aligning with ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models that projected surface maxima near 34–35°C amid typical Po Valley humidity and urban heat-island effects. Official monitoring confirmed this value exceeded the seasonal 28–30°C baseline without significant cloud cover or instability to suppress readings. The market’s 100% consensus on 35°C reflects this convergence of verified observations and model agreement, though minor revisions in station data or micro-scale variations could theoretically shift resolution if post-event quality checks alter the official high.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$41,136结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent heatwave conditions across northern Italy, reinforced by a strong high-pressure system, drove Milan’s peak temperature to 35°C on August 16, aligning with ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models that projected surface maxima near 34–35°C amid typical Po Valley humidity and urban heat-island effects. Official monitoring confirmed this value exceeded the seasonal 28–30°C baseline without significant cloud cover or instability to suppress readings. The market’s 100% consensus on 35°C reflects this convergence of verified observations and model agreement, though minor revisions in station data or micro-scale variations could theoretically shift resolution if post-event quality checks alter the official high.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$41,136结束日期
2026-08-16市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
Persistent heatwave conditions across northern Italy, reinforced by a strong high-pressure system, drove Milan’s peak temperature to 35°C on August 16, aligning with ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models that projected surface maxima near 34–35°C amid typical Po Valley humidity and urban heat-island effects. Official monitoring confirmed this value exceeded the seasonal 28–30°C baseline without significant cloud cover or instability to suppress readings. The market’s 100% consensus on 35°C reflects this convergence of verified observations and model agreement, though minor revisions in station data or micro-scale variations could theoretically shift resolution if post-event quality checks alter the official high.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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