Trader consensus favoring 32–33°C for Panama City’s August 2 maximum stems from wet-season convection patterns, where ITCZ-driven afternoon thunderstorms and humidity typically cap diurnal heating near the 29–30°C climatological average yet permit brief spikes under partly cloudy gaps. Ensemble guidance from models like GFS and ECMWF shows modest spread tied to cloud-cover timing and precipitation intensity, with clearer intervals or delayed storms supporting the slight edge for 33°C over 32°C. Historical August data indicate extremes above 34°C remain rare without anomalous subsidence, while official monitoring highlights ongoing high humidity and scattered showers as the dominant moderating influences ahead of the next forecast update.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月2日巴拿马城气温最高?
33°C 41%
32°C 37%
31°C 17%
30°C 4%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
17%
32°C
37%
33°C
41%
34°C
4%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C或更高
1%
33°C 41%
32°C 37%
31°C 17%
30°C 4%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
17%
32°C
37%
33°C
41%
34°C
4%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus favoring 32–33°C for Panama City’s August 2 maximum stems from wet-season convection patterns, where ITCZ-driven afternoon thunderstorms and humidity typically cap diurnal heating near the 29–30°C climatological average yet permit brief spikes under partly cloudy gaps. Ensemble guidance from models like GFS and ECMWF shows modest spread tied to cloud-cover timing and precipitation intensity, with clearer intervals or delayed storms supporting the slight edge for 33°C over 32°C. Historical August data indicate extremes above 34°C remain rare without anomalous subsidence, while official monitoring highlights ongoing high humidity and scattered showers as the dominant moderating influences ahead of the next forecast update.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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