Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the National Weather Service indicate San Francisco will experience typical early-September marine-layer conditions on September 2, with onshore southwest flow limiting daytime warming and producing partly cloudy skies. Model consensus points to afternoon highs in the upper 60s to low 70s Fahrenheit at official stations, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average near 70°F for the date. This pattern explains the market’s heavy weighting toward the 70–73°F range, as traders incorporate the narrow uncertainty band around official thermometer readings rather than broader regional or record values. No anomalous heat or strong offshore flow has emerged to shift probabilities higher.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月2日旧金山气温最高？
9月2日旧金山气温最高？
72-73°F 30%
70-71°F 28%
68-69°F 15%
64-65°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
63°F或以下
2%
64-65°F
8%
66-67°F
8%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
30%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F或更高
<1%
72-73°F 30%
70-71°F 28%
68-69°F 15%
64-65°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
63°F或以下
$308 交易量
2%
64-65°F
$25 交易量
8%
66-67°F
$88 交易量
8%
68-69°F
$83 交易量
22%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
28%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
30%
74-75°F
$31 交易量
5%
76-77°F
$66 交易量
<1%
78-79°F
$182 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$5 交易量
<1%
82°F或更高
$5 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the National Weather Service indicate San Francisco will experience typical early-September marine-layer conditions on September 2, with onshore southwest flow limiting daytime warming and producing partly cloudy skies. Model consensus points to afternoon highs in the upper 60s to low 70s Fahrenheit at official stations, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average near 70°F for the date. This pattern explains the market’s heavy weighting toward the 70–73°F range, as traders incorporate the narrow uncertainty band around official thermometer readings rather than broader regional or record values. No anomalous heat or strong offshore flow has emerged to shift probabilities higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
交易量
$779结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 7:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the National Weather Service indicate San Francisco will experience typical early-September marine-layer conditions on September 2, with onshore southwest flow limiting daytime warming and producing partly cloudy skies. Model consensus points to afternoon highs in the upper 60s to low 70s Fahrenheit at official stations, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average near 70°F for the date. This pattern explains the market’s heavy weighting toward the 70–73°F range, as traders incorporate the narrow uncertainty band around official thermometer readings rather than broader regional or record values. No anomalous heat or strong offshore flow has emerged to shift probabilities higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$779结束日期
2026-09-02市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 7:56 AM ETRecent short-range forecasts from agencies including the National Weather Service indicate San Francisco will experience typical early-September marine-layer conditions on September 2, with onshore southwest flow limiting daytime warming and producing partly cloudy skies. Model consensus points to afternoon highs in the upper 60s to low 70s Fahrenheit at official stations, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average near 70°F for the date. This pattern explains the market’s heavy weighting toward the 70–73°F range, as traders incorporate the narrow uncertainty band around official thermometer readings rather than broader regional or record values. No anomalous heat or strong offshore flow has emerged to shift probabilities higher.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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