**Model consensus from global and regional forecasts points to an afternoon peak of 32–33°C in Singapore on September 4, driven by typical equatorial conditions of high solar insolation, light southerly winds, and partly cloudy skies with limited convective activity.** September climatology features average daily highs near 31°C at Changi and other official stations, with humidity often exceeding 70% and dew points supporting heat indices above 35°C. Recent model runs (including GFS and ECMWF guidance) show minimal cloud cover or showers suppressing temperatures below 32°C in many scenarios, while slight variations in steering flow or localized heating could push readings to 33°C at peak observation times. No significant tropical disturbances or anomalous sea-surface temperatures are altering the pattern, keeping implied probabilities concentrated on 32–33°C as the market reflects trader assessment of these stable, near-climatological conditions ahead of final pre-event updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月4日新加坡气温最高？
9月4日新加坡气温最高？
33°C 66%
32°C 29%
34°C 5%
30°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
29%
33°C
66%
34°C
5%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C或更高
<1%
33°C 66%
32°C 29%
34°C 5%
30°C 2%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
28°C或以下
$431 交易量
<1%
29°C
$237 交易量
<1%
30°C
$699 交易量
2%
31°C
$654 交易量
2%
32°C
$1,952 交易量
29%
33°C
$2,117 交易量
66%
34°C
$2,043 交易量
5%
35°C
$388 交易量
2%
36°C
$268 交易量
<1%
37°C
$352 交易量
<1%
38°C或更高
$324 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Model consensus from global and regional forecasts points to an afternoon peak of 32–33°C in Singapore on September 4, driven by typical equatorial conditions of high solar insolation, light southerly winds, and partly cloudy skies with limited convective activity.**
September climatology features average daily highs near 31°C at Changi and other official stations, with humidity often exceeding 70% and dew points supporting heat indices above 35°C. Recent model runs (including GFS and ECMWF guidance) show minimal cloud cover or showers suppressing temperatures below 32°C in many scenarios, while slight variations in steering flow or localized heating could push readings to 33°C at peak observation times. No significant tropical disturbances or anomalous sea-surface temperatures are altering the pattern, keeping implied probabilities concentrated on 32–33°C as the market reflects trader assessment of these stable, near-climatological conditions ahead of final pre-event updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$9,465结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Model consensus from global and regional forecasts points to an afternoon peak of 32–33°C in Singapore on September 4, driven by typical equatorial conditions of high solar insolation, light southerly winds, and partly cloudy skies with limited convective activity.**
September climatology features average daily highs near 31°C at Changi and other official stations, with humidity often exceeding 70% and dew points supporting heat indices above 35°C. Recent model runs (including GFS and ECMWF guidance) show minimal cloud cover or showers suppressing temperatures below 32°C in many scenarios, while slight variations in steering flow or localized heating could push readings to 33°C at peak observation times. No significant tropical disturbances or anomalous sea-surface temperatures are altering the pattern, keeping implied probabilities concentrated on 32–33°C as the market reflects trader assessment of these stable, near-climatological conditions ahead of final pre-event updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$9,465结束日期
2026-09-04市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Model consensus from global and regional forecasts points to an afternoon peak of 32–33°C in Singapore on September 4, driven by typical equatorial conditions of high solar insolation, light southerly winds, and partly cloudy skies with limited convective activity.** September climatology features average daily highs near 31°C at Changi and other official stations, with humidity often exceeding 70% and dew points supporting heat indices above 35°C. Recent model runs (including GFS and ECMWF guidance) show minimal cloud cover or showers suppressing temperatures below 32°C in many scenarios, while slight variations in steering flow or localized heating could push readings to 33°C at peak observation times. No significant tropical disturbances or anomalous sea-surface temperatures are altering the pattern, keeping implied probabilities concentrated on 32–33°C as the market reflects trader assessment of these stable, near-climatological conditions ahead of final pre-event updates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题