**Current meteorological data and ensemble forecast models indicate a daily maximum temperature of 27°C in Zhengzhou on September 12, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and low precipitation probability.** This consensus arises from consistent outputs across major models showing afternoon peaks near 27–29°C (81–84°F), consistent with mid-September climatology for the North China Plain where typical highs average around 27°C. Recent surface observations confirm temperatures climbing steadily into the mid-20s°C without exceeding this range, reinforcing trader confidence in the 27°C outcome. The market-implied probability near 100% reflects this tight alignment of observational and model evidence. Only significant, unforeseen shifts—such as rapid clearing skies enhancing insolation or localized wind changes—could realistically push the recorded high outside this narrow band before official station data finalize the result.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月12日郑州气温最高？
9月12日郑州气温最高？
27°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$4,996 交易量
$4,996 交易量
2026-09-12
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或以上
<1%
27°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$4,996 交易量
$4,996 交易量
2026-09-12
22°C或以下
$654 交易量
<1%
23°C
$55 交易量
<1%
24°C
$296 交易量
<1%
25°C
$442 交易量
<1%
26°C
$449 交易量
<1%
27°C
$759 交易量
100%
28°C
$397 交易量
<1%
29°C
$735 交易量
<1%
30°C
$959 交易量
<1%
31°C
$65 交易量
<1%
32°C或以上
$185 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current meteorological data and ensemble forecast models indicate a daily maximum temperature of 27°C in Zhengzhou on September 12, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and low precipitation probability.** This consensus arises from consistent outputs across major models showing afternoon peaks near 27–29°C (81–84°F), consistent with mid-September climatology for the North China Plain where typical highs average around 27°C. Recent surface observations confirm temperatures climbing steadily into the mid-20s°C without exceeding this range, reinforcing trader confidence in the 27°C outcome. The market-implied probability near 100% reflects this tight alignment of observational and model evidence. Only significant, unforeseen shifts—such as rapid clearing skies enhancing insolation or localized wind changes—could realistically push the recorded high outside this narrow band before official station data finalize the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 11, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$4,996结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current meteorological data and ensemble forecast models indicate a daily maximum temperature of 27°C in Zhengzhou on September 12, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and low precipitation probability.** This consensus arises from consistent outputs across major models showing afternoon peaks near 27–29°C (81–84°F), consistent with mid-September climatology for the North China Plain where typical highs average around 27°C. Recent surface observations confirm temperatures climbing steadily into the mid-20s°C without exceeding this range, reinforcing trader confidence in the 27°C outcome. The market-implied probability near 100% reflects this tight alignment of observational and model evidence. Only significant, unforeseen shifts—such as rapid clearing skies enhancing insolation or localized wind changes—could realistically push the recorded high outside this narrow band before official station data finalize the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,996结束日期
2026-09-12市场开放时间
Sep 11, 2026, 12:55 AM ET**Current meteorological data and ensemble forecast models indicate a daily maximum temperature of 27°C in Zhengzhou on September 12, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and low precipitation probability.** This consensus arises from consistent outputs across major models showing afternoon peaks near 27–29°C (81–84°F), consistent with mid-September climatology for the North China Plain where typical highs average around 27°C. Recent surface observations confirm temperatures climbing steadily into the mid-20s°C without exceeding this range, reinforcing trader confidence in the 27°C outcome. The market-implied probability near 100% reflects this tight alignment of observational and model evidence. Only significant, unforeseen shifts—such as rapid clearing skies enhancing insolation or localized wind changes—could realistically push the recorded high outside this narrow band before official station data finalize the result.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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