Iran's political landscape remains shaped by the aftermath of the 2026 war with the United States and Israel, including the February assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and the subsequent leadership transition to Mojtaba Khamenei. Trader sentiment reflects persistent factional tensions, with hardline parliamentarians issuing public warnings in July about a potential "soft coup" by President Masoud Pezeshkian, Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi amid truce negotiations and policy disputes. These accusations center on perceived efforts to sideline ultra-hardliners during the supreme leader's reduced visibility, alongside military appointments and parliamentary moves on media restrictions. No widely reported coup attempt has materialized, and ongoing diplomatic pressures over the Strait of Hormuz plus internal security dynamics continue to influence assessments of regime stability through year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$2,121,915 交易量
2026-12-31
12月31日
9%
$2,121,915 交易量
12月31日
$80,690 交易量
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's political landscape remains shaped by the aftermath of the 2026 war with the United States and Israel, including the February assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and the subsequent leadership transition to Mojtaba Khamenei. Trader sentiment reflects persistent factional tensions, with hardline parliamentarians issuing public warnings in July about a potential "soft coup" by President Masoud Pezeshkian, Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi amid truce negotiations and policy disputes. These accusations center on perceived efforts to sideline ultra-hardliners during the supreme leader's reduced visibility, alongside military appointments and parliamentary moves on media restrictions. No widely reported coup attempt has materialized, and ongoing diplomatic pressures over the Strait of Hormuz plus internal security dynamics continue to influence assessments of regime stability through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
交易量
$2,121,915结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's political landscape remains shaped by the aftermath of the 2026 war with the United States and Israel, including the February assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and the subsequent leadership transition to Mojtaba Khamenei. Trader sentiment reflects persistent factional tensions, with hardline parliamentarians issuing public warnings in July about a potential "soft coup" by President Masoud Pezeshkian, Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi amid truce negotiations and policy disputes. These accusations center on perceived efforts to sideline ultra-hardliners during the supreme leader's reduced visibility, alongside military appointments and parliamentary moves on media restrictions. No widely reported coup attempt has materialized, and ongoing diplomatic pressures over the Strait of Hormuz plus internal security dynamics continue to influence assessments of regime stability through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$2,121,915结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 5:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's political landscape remains shaped by the aftermath of the 2026 war with the United States and Israel, including the February assassination of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and the subsequent leadership transition to Mojtaba Khamenei. Trader sentiment reflects persistent factional tensions, with hardline parliamentarians issuing public warnings in July about a potential "soft coup" by President Masoud Pezeshkian, Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi amid truce negotiations and policy disputes. These accusations center on perceived efforts to sideline ultra-hardliners during the supreme leader's reduced visibility, alongside military appointments and parliamentary moves on media restrictions. No widely reported coup attempt has materialized, and ongoing diplomatic pressures over the Strait of Hormuz plus internal security dynamics continue to influence assessments of regime stability through year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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