Adam Hamilton leads the August 4, 2026, Kansas Democratic Senate primary with strong trader support due to his late-April announcement as a prominent United Methodist pastor, rapid fundraising exceeding $1 million in the first week, and statewide name recognition that outpaces lesser-known rivals. Other declared candidates, including Damon Anderson, Christy Davis, Erik Murray, Jason Hart, and several others, remain in the field but have shown limited public momentum or financial traction so far. The race occurs in a solidly Republican general-election environment against incumbent Sen. Roger Marshall, making the Democratic nomination a lower-stakes contest where early organizational and donor advantages heavily shape current implied probabilities. No major late developments have altered the field since Hamilton’s entry.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于亚当·汉密尔顿 74%
克里斯蒂·戴维斯 8.8%
达蒙·安德森 7.6%
杰森·哈特 4.5%
$139,986 交易量
$139,986 交易量
亚当·汉密尔顿
74%
克里斯蒂·戴维斯
9%
达蒙·安德森
8%
杰森·哈特
4%
诺亚·泰勒
4%
桑迪·斯派德尔·诺依曼
3%
埃里克·默里
3%
Sharice Davids
3%
帕特里克·施密特
2%
凯文·拉茨
<1%
安妮·帕雷尔卡
<1%
迈克尔·索塔特
<1%
亚当·汉密尔顿 74%
克里斯蒂·戴维斯 8.8%
达蒙·安德森 7.6%
杰森·哈特 4.5%
$139,986 交易量
$139,986 交易量
亚当·汉密尔顿
74%
克里斯蒂·戴维斯
9%
达蒙·安德森
8%
杰森·哈特
4%
诺亚·泰勒
4%
桑迪·斯派德尔·诺依曼
3%
埃里克·默里
3%
Sharice Davids
3%
帕特里克·施密特
2%
凯文·拉茨
<1%
安妮·帕雷尔卡
<1%
迈克尔·索塔特
<1%
If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市场开放时间: Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Adam Hamilton leads the August 4, 2026, Kansas Democratic Senate primary with strong trader support due to his late-April announcement as a prominent United Methodist pastor, rapid fundraising exceeding $1 million in the first week, and statewide name recognition that outpaces lesser-known rivals. Other declared candidates, including Damon Anderson, Christy Davis, Erik Murray, Jason Hart, and several others, remain in the field but have shown limited public momentum or financial traction so far. The race occurs in a solidly Republican general-election environment against incumbent Sen. Roger Marshall, making the Democratic nomination a lower-stakes contest where early organizational and donor advantages heavily shape current implied probabilities. No major late developments have altered the field since Hamilton’s entry.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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