Mayor Bass receives endorsement from local labor unions amid fire controversy

Karen Bass jumps to 38%8%

AP reported that several labor groups publicly backed Bass in early April, temporarily stabilizing her price, which rose from 30% on Apr 2 to 38% on Apr 5 before falling again.

Los Angeles City Council delays zoning overhaul to comply with state housing law

Karen Bass plunges to 28%15%

The city council voted to delay zoning changes to buy more planning time under state law SB 79, reflecting local resistance to rapid housing density changes. This political maneuvering influenced perceptions of city leadership and indirectly affected mayoral race dynamics.

Los Angeles anti-Iranian regime protest disrupted by U-Haul truck incident

Karen Bass drops to 48%8%

A U-Haul truck drove into a crowd at an anti-Iranian regime protest in Los Angeles, leading to arrests and police investigations. Mayor Karen Bass called for peaceful exercise of First Amendment rights, showing her engagement with local community issues during the campaign.

Conservative group files lawsuit challenging LA school desegregation policy

Rae Huang plunges to 5%45%

The 1776 Project lawsuit was covered by AP, casting a partisan spotlight on city policies and coinciding with a sharp drop for Rae Huang and Asaad Alnajjar, whose prices fell to near‑zero by early February.

One-year anniversary of Los Angeles wildfires highlights slow recovery and criticism

Karen Bass drops to 56%9%

On the anniversary of the deadly 2025 wildfires, communities mourned losses and protested the slow pace of rebuilding. Mayor Bass remained on the defensive over her handling of the fires, impacting her public support and market price.

Adam Miller launches campaign with tech‑entrepreneur platform

Adam Miller plunges to 5%34%

AP noted Miller’s entry as a tech entrepreneur, giving him a brief surge that aligns with his price moving from 39% to 5% by Mar 12, reflecting initial enthusiasm then rapid decline.

Nithya Raman announces late entry into mayoral race, challenging Bass

Raman’s late candidacy was reported by AP, shifting voter attention and contributing to a price drop for Bass from 63% to 56% by Dec 19 and a rise for Raman later in the window.

Spencer Pratt’s home destroyed in Palisades fire, boosting his campaign visibility

Spencer Pratt jumps to 23%5%

Pratt’s loss of his home in the wildfire was highlighted in AP coverage, raising his name recognition and coinciding with a price rise from 18% to 23% by Jan 17, 2026.

Mayor Karen Bass faces criticism over wildfire response and city issues

Karen Bass drops to 53%9%

Karen Bass's market price declined from 62% to 53% amid ongoing criticism of her handling of the 2025 Palisades Fire recovery and homelessness. Reports and public dissatisfaction about slow rebuilding and city management contributed to her declining support.

Mayor Karen Bass criticized for alleged interference in fire report after Palisades wildfire

Karen Bass drops to 57%6%

AP reported that Bass’s office denied allegations she pushed to soften the LAFD after‑action report on the deadly Palisades fire, sparking public backlash and a drop in her market price from 63% to 57% on Dec 11.

Spencer Pratt launches viral campaign targeting Mayor Bass and city dysfunction

Spencer Pratt jumps to 26%8%

Spencer Pratt announced his mayoral campaign in January 2026, but his viral videos and populist messaging against homelessness and failed leadership began gaining traction in early December 2025, boosting his market price from 18% to 26%. His campaign emphasized a hardline stance on homelessness and criticized incumbent Karen Bass's wildfire response.

Karen Bass addresses Iranian protest in Los Angeles amid U-Haul truck incident

Karen Bass rises to 63%1%

Mayor Karen Bass spoke at an anti-Iranian regime protest in Los Angeles where a U-Haul truck drove into the crowd, causing chaos. Her presence and call for peaceful protest highlighted her leadership on community issues, slightly stabilizing her market position.

U-Haul truck incident at Los Angeles anti-Iranian regime protest draws attention

Karen Bass dips to 62%1%

A U-Haul truck drove into a crowd during an anti-Iranian regime protest in Los Angeles, leading to arrests and heightened media coverage. Mayor Karen Bass addressed the incident, emphasizing peaceful protest rights, which kept public focus on her leadership amid ongoing city tensions.

Los Angeles Times reports on alleged edits to fire department report amid wildfire controversy

Karen Bass drops to 65%5%

The Los Angeles Times published reports alleging that drafts of the Los Angeles Fire Department’s after-action report were edited to soften criticism of city officials, including Mayor Bass. Bass's office denied these allegations, but the controversy kept scrutiny on her wildfire response, influencing market sentiment.

Community organizer Rae Huang challenges Mayor Bass, highlighting progressive Christian candidacy

Rae Huang, a progressive Christian pastor, entered the race challenging Karen Bass from the left, bringing new dynamics to the contest and reflecting broader political and cultural debates in Los Angeles.

Karen Bass’s support surges after wildfire recovery efforts and public statements

Karen Bass jumps to 73%12%

Following public statements and efforts addressing wildfire recovery, Karen Bass’s market price rose significantly, reflecting increased confidence in her leadership despite ongoing challenges.

Spencer Pratt launches viral campaign attacking Mayor Bass over wildfire response

Asaad Alnajjar plunges to 4%45%

Reality TV personality Spencer Pratt, whose home was destroyed in the Palisades Fire, launched a populist campaign criticizing Karen Bass's leadership and wildfire response. His viral videos and hardline stance on homelessness gained attention, causing a sharp drop in Asaad Alnajjar's market price and affecting Bass's standing.

Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass faces reelection challenges amid wildfire fallout

Karen Bass drops to 55%5%

Karen Bass's reelection campaign began under pressure due to criticism of her handling of the 2025 Palisades wildfire and related city issues. This news caused a temporary dip in her market price and a sharp drop for Asaad Alnajjar, reflecting shifting voter confidence.

Los Angeles mayoral race begins amid wildfire fallout and homelessness crisis

Karen Bass drops to 55%5%

Karen Bass faced reelection challenges due to criticism over her handling of the 2025 Palisades wildfire and ongoing city issues like homelessness. New candidates including Spencer Pratt and Adam Miller entered the race, intensifying competition and impacting market perceptions of Bass's chances.