Clear skies and light southerly winds under high pressure are promoting radiative cooling overnight in Cape Town, with official and model guidance pointing to a minimum near 13–14 °C early on 20 September. Multiple forecasts, including GFS-based runs and South African observations, converge on this range after daytime highs reached the mid-20s °C, while limited cloud cover and dry conditions have prevented warmer nocturnal temperatures. Trader emphasis on the 13 °C outcome at 59 % implied probability, alongside sizable support for 11–12 °C, aligns with this consensus and historical September minima near 12 °C; any upward revision in model guidance or unexpected marine-layer development could shift probabilities before final readings are confirmed.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日开普敦最低温度？
9月20日开普敦最低温度？
13°C 100.0%
10°C或以下 1.0%
11°C 1.0%
12°C 1.0%
$3,121 交易量
$3,121 交易量
2026-09-20
10°C或以下
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
是
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C或更高
否
13°C 100.0%
10°C或以下 1.0%
11°C 1.0%
12°C 1.0%
$3,121 交易量
$3,121 交易量
2026-09-20
10°C或以下
$0 交易量
否
11°C
$0 交易量
否
12°C
$0 交易量
否
13°C
$682 交易量
是
14°C
$245 交易量
否
15°C
$250 交易量
否
16°C
$392 交易量
否
17°C
$37 交易量
否
18°C
$37 交易量
否
19°C
$37 交易量
否
20°C或更高
$1,441 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light southerly winds under high pressure are promoting radiative cooling overnight in Cape Town, with official and model guidance pointing to a minimum near 13–14 °C early on 20 September. Multiple forecasts, including GFS-based runs and South African observations, converge on this range after daytime highs reached the mid-20s °C, while limited cloud cover and dry conditions have prevented warmer nocturnal temperatures. Trader emphasis on the 13 °C outcome at 59 % implied probability, alongside sizable support for 11–12 °C, aligns with this consensus and historical September minima near 12 °C; any upward revision in model guidance or unexpected marine-layer development could shift probabilities before final readings are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$3,121结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light southerly winds under high pressure are promoting radiative cooling overnight in Cape Town, with official and model guidance pointing to a minimum near 13–14 °C early on 20 September. Multiple forecasts, including GFS-based runs and South African observations, converge on this range after daytime highs reached the mid-20s °C, while limited cloud cover and dry conditions have prevented warmer nocturnal temperatures. Trader emphasis on the 13 °C outcome at 59 % implied probability, alongside sizable support for 11–12 °C, aligns with this consensus and historical September minima near 12 °C; any upward revision in model guidance or unexpected marine-layer development could shift probabilities before final readings are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,121结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Clear skies and light southerly winds under high pressure are promoting radiative cooling overnight in Cape Town, with official and model guidance pointing to a minimum near 13–14 °C early on 20 September. Multiple forecasts, including GFS-based runs and South African observations, converge on this range after daytime highs reached the mid-20s °C, while limited cloud cover and dry conditions have prevented warmer nocturnal temperatures. Trader emphasis on the 13 °C outcome at 59 % implied probability, alongside sizable support for 11–12 °C, aligns with this consensus and historical September minima near 12 °C; any upward revision in model guidance or unexpected marine-layer development could shift probabilities before final readings are confirmed.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题