Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate persistent rain and cloud cover tied to the start of Chongqing's autumn rain period around September 15, which is suppressing temperatures and supporting market-implied odds clustered near 19–20°C for the September 17 low. Subtropical humidity, light winds under 3 m/s, and widespread precipitation are expected to limit radiative cooling while keeping overnight readings in the low 20s Celsius across most model runs, though variations in rainfall intensity and timing create divergence between outcomes near 22°C and cooler thresholds. Official guidance highlights 60–90 mm of accumulated rain through midweek, with higher amounts potentially enhancing cooling; updated China Meteorological Administration runs and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will refine the precise minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月17日重庆气温最低？
9月17日重庆气温最低？
25°C或更高 89%
15°C或以下 75%
16°C 39%
21°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
15°C或以下
75%
16°C
39%
17°C
22%
18°C
23%
19°C
31%
20°C
31%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23℃
39%
24°C
39%
25°C或更高
89%
25°C或更高 89%
15°C或以下 75%
16°C 39%
21°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-17
15°C或以下
$0 交易量
75%
16°C
$0 交易量
39%
17°C
$0 交易量
22%
18°C
$0 交易量
23%
19°C
$0 交易量
31%
20°C
$0 交易量
31%
21°C
$0 交易量
39%
22°C
$0 交易量
39%
23℃
$0 交易量
39%
24°C
$0 交易量
39%
25°C或更高
$0 交易量
89%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate persistent rain and cloud cover tied to the start of Chongqing's autumn rain period around September 15, which is suppressing temperatures and supporting market-implied odds clustered near 19–20°C for the September 17 low. Subtropical humidity, light winds under 3 m/s, and widespread precipitation are expected to limit radiative cooling while keeping overnight readings in the low 20s Celsius across most model runs, though variations in rainfall intensity and timing create divergence between outcomes near 22°C and cooler thresholds. Official guidance highlights 60–90 mm of accumulated rain through midweek, with higher amounts potentially enhancing cooling; updated China Meteorological Administration runs and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will refine the precise minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate persistent rain and cloud cover tied to the start of Chongqing's autumn rain period around September 15, which is suppressing temperatures and supporting market-implied odds clustered near 19–20°C for the September 17 low. Subtropical humidity, light winds under 3 m/s, and widespread precipitation are expected to limit radiative cooling while keeping overnight readings in the low 20s Celsius across most model runs, though variations in rainfall intensity and timing create divergence between outcomes near 22°C and cooler thresholds. Official guidance highlights 60–90 mm of accumulated rain through midweek, with higher amounts potentially enhancing cooling; updated China Meteorological Administration runs and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will refine the precise minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-17市场开放时间
Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources indicate persistent rain and cloud cover tied to the start of Chongqing's autumn rain period around September 15, which is suppressing temperatures and supporting market-implied odds clustered near 19–20°C for the September 17 low. Subtropical humidity, light winds under 3 m/s, and widespread precipitation are expected to limit radiative cooling while keeping overnight readings in the low 20s Celsius across most model runs, though variations in rainfall intensity and timing create divergence between outcomes near 22°C and cooler thresholds. Official guidance highlights 60–90 mm of accumulated rain through midweek, with higher amounts potentially enhancing cooling; updated China Meteorological Administration runs and satellite observations over the next 48 hours will refine the precise minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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