**Current forecasts from sources including the Shandong Meteorological Bureau and international models indicate a minimum temperature for Jinan on September 20 near 21–23°C under mostly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and moderate humidity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling.** This setup favors the market's leading 19°C outcome at 55% implied probability, as traders incorporate slight downward revisions possible from urban measurement stations or localized variations in cloud cover. The notable 45% weighting on 12°C or below reflects hedging against model spread or unexpected frontal influences, though official guidance shows little support for such drops given the current warm advection pattern and absence of significant precipitation or strong cooling mechanisms. Upcoming evening observations and final daily minimum readings will resolve the market, with historical September baselines for the region typically ranging 16–20°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日济南最低气温？
9月20日济南最低气温？
15°C 13%
12°C或以下 1.0%
13°C 1.0%
14°C 1.0%
$729 交易量
$729 交易量
2026-09-20
12°C或以下
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
是
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C或更高
否
15°C 13%
12°C或以下 1.0%
13°C 1.0%
14°C 1.0%
$729 交易量
$729 交易量
2026-09-20
12°C或以下
$10 交易量
否
13°C
$10 交易量
否
14°C
$10 交易量
否
15°C
$10 交易量
否
16°C
$58 交易量
否
17°C
$58 交易量
否
18°C
$61 交易量
否
19°C
$294 交易量
是
20°C
$156 交易量
否
21°C
$26 交易量
否
22°C或更高
$36 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from sources including the Shandong Meteorological Bureau and international models indicate a minimum temperature for Jinan on September 20 near 21–23°C under mostly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and moderate humidity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling.**
This setup favors the market's leading 19°C outcome at 55% implied probability, as traders incorporate slight downward revisions possible from urban measurement stations or localized variations in cloud cover. The notable 45% weighting on 12°C or below reflects hedging against model spread or unexpected frontal influences, though official guidance shows little support for such drops given the current warm advection pattern and absence of significant precipitation or strong cooling mechanisms. Upcoming evening observations and final daily minimum readings will resolve the market, with historical September baselines for the region typically ranging 16–20°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$729结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from sources including the Shandong Meteorological Bureau and international models indicate a minimum temperature for Jinan on September 20 near 21–23°C under mostly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and moderate humidity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling.**
This setup favors the market's leading 19°C outcome at 55% implied probability, as traders incorporate slight downward revisions possible from urban measurement stations or localized variations in cloud cover. The notable 45% weighting on 12°C or below reflects hedging against model spread or unexpected frontal influences, though official guidance shows little support for such drops given the current warm advection pattern and absence of significant precipitation or strong cooling mechanisms. Upcoming evening observations and final daily minimum readings will resolve the market, with historical September baselines for the region typically ranging 16–20°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$729结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
**Current forecasts from sources including the Shandong Meteorological Bureau and international models indicate a minimum temperature for Jinan on September 20 near 21–23°C under mostly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and moderate humidity that limits nocturnal radiative cooling.** This setup favors the market's leading 19°C outcome at 55% implied probability, as traders incorporate slight downward revisions possible from urban measurement stations or localized variations in cloud cover. The notable 45% weighting on 12°C or below reflects hedging against model spread or unexpected frontal influences, though official guidance shows little support for such drops given the current warm advection pattern and absence of significant precipitation or strong cooling mechanisms. Upcoming evening observations and final daily minimum readings will resolve the market, with historical September baselines for the region typically ranging 16–20°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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