Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate substantial uncertainty in Jinan’s overnight minimum on September 5, with clear skies and light northeasterly winds promoting strong radiative cooling after sunset. Ensemble spreads from sources such as ECMWF and CMA place the lowest temperature between roughly 17–21 °C, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 15–22 °C thresholds. Historical September climatology shows typical lows near 19 °C, but day-to-day variability in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed can shift the realized minimum by several degrees. Updated high-resolution model runs and official CMA guidance expected overnight will likely narrow the range before markets close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日济南最低气温？
9月5日济南最低气温？
12°C或以下 100%
22℃或更高 95%
13°C 50%
14°C 50%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
12°C或以下
100%
13°C
50%
14°C
50%
15°C
27%
16°C
28%
17°C
27%
18°C
50%
19°C
50%
20°C
50%
21°C
50%
22℃或更高
95%
12°C或以下 100%
22℃或更高 95%
13°C 50%
14°C 50%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
12°C或以下
$0 交易量
100%
13°C
$0 交易量
50%
14°C
$0 交易量
50%
15°C
$0 交易量
27%
16°C
$0 交易量
28%
17°C
$0 交易量
27%
18°C
$0 交易量
50%
19°C
$0 交易量
50%
20°C
$0 交易量
50%
21°C
$0 交易量
50%
22℃或更高
$0 交易量
95%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate substantial uncertainty in Jinan’s overnight minimum on September 5, with clear skies and light northeasterly winds promoting strong radiative cooling after sunset. Ensemble spreads from sources such as ECMWF and CMA place the lowest temperature between roughly 17–21 °C, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 15–22 °C thresholds. Historical September climatology shows typical lows near 19 °C, but day-to-day variability in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed can shift the realized minimum by several degrees. Updated high-resolution model runs and official CMA guidance expected overnight will likely narrow the range before markets close.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 4, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models indicate substantial uncertainty in Jinan’s overnight minimum on September 5, with clear skies and light northeasterly winds promoting strong radiative cooling after sunset. Ensemble spreads from sources such as ECMWF and CMA place the lowest temperature between roughly 17–21 °C, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 15–22 °C thresholds. Historical September climatology shows typical lows near 19 °C, but day-to-day variability in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed can shift the realized minimum by several degrees. Updated high-resolution model runs and official CMA guidance expected overnight will likely narrow the range before markets close.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 4, 2026, 12:28 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction models indicate substantial uncertainty in Jinan’s overnight minimum on September 5, with clear skies and light northeasterly winds promoting strong radiative cooling after sunset. Ensemble spreads from sources such as ECMWF and CMA place the lowest temperature between roughly 17–21 °C, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around the 15–22 °C thresholds. Historical September climatology shows typical lows near 19 °C, but day-to-day variability in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed can shift the realized minimum by several degrees. Updated high-resolution model runs and official CMA guidance expected overnight will likely narrow the range before markets close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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