Current southwest monsoon (Habagat) conditions, with lingering moisture and cloud cover from recent heavy rains, are moderating overnight radiative cooling in Manila and positioning 27–28°C as the leading minimum temperature outcomes. Official forecasts from PAGASA and global models show nighttime lows holding near 27°C under partly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and high humidity levels above 75%, consistent with typical August patterns where monsoon-enhanced moisture limits drops below 26°C. Recent weakening of the system has reduced intense rainfall but sustained warm, stable air masses, aligning trader-implied odds with these ranges while assigning low probability to cooler thresholds that would require clearer skies or atypical advection.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日马尼拉的最低温度？
8月21日马尼拉的最低温度？
28°C 99.5%
23°C 1.0%
24°C 1.0%
25°C 1.0%
$1,139 交易量
$1,139 交易量
2026-08-21
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 99.5%
23°C 1.0%
24°C 1.0%
25°C 1.0%
$1,139 交易量
$1,139 交易量
2026-08-21
22°C or below
$144 交易量
No
23°C
$98 交易量
No
24°C
$104 交易量
No
25°C
$94 交易量
No
26°C
$163 交易量
No
27°C
$46 交易量
No
28°C
$70 交易量
Yes
29°C
$105 交易量
No
30°C
$105 交易量
No
31°C
$105 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$105 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current southwest monsoon (Habagat) conditions, with lingering moisture and cloud cover from recent heavy rains, are moderating overnight radiative cooling in Manila and positioning 27–28°C as the leading minimum temperature outcomes. Official forecasts from PAGASA and global models show nighttime lows holding near 27°C under partly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and high humidity levels above 75%, consistent with typical August patterns where monsoon-enhanced moisture limits drops below 26°C. Recent weakening of the system has reduced intense rainfall but sustained warm, stable air masses, aligning trader-implied odds with these ranges while assigning low probability to cooler thresholds that would require clearer skies or atypical advection.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
交易量
$1,139结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current southwest monsoon (Habagat) conditions, with lingering moisture and cloud cover from recent heavy rains, are moderating overnight radiative cooling in Manila and positioning 27–28°C as the leading minimum temperature outcomes. Official forecasts from PAGASA and global models show nighttime lows holding near 27°C under partly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and high humidity levels above 75%, consistent with typical August patterns where monsoon-enhanced moisture limits drops below 26°C. Recent weakening of the system has reduced intense rainfall but sustained warm, stable air masses, aligning trader-implied odds with these ranges while assigning low probability to cooler thresholds that would require clearer skies or atypical advection.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,139结束日期
2026-08-21市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Current southwest monsoon (Habagat) conditions, with lingering moisture and cloud cover from recent heavy rains, are moderating overnight radiative cooling in Manila and positioning 27–28°C as the leading minimum temperature outcomes. Official forecasts from PAGASA and global models show nighttime lows holding near 27°C under partly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and high humidity levels above 75%, consistent with typical August patterns where monsoon-enhanced moisture limits drops below 26°C. Recent weakening of the system has reduced intense rainfall but sustained warm, stable air masses, aligning trader-implied odds with these ranges while assigning low probability to cooler thresholds that would require clearer skies or atypical advection.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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