Tropical monsoon conditions and the southwest monsoon dominate Manila's overnight temperatures on September 20, 2026, with PAGASA forecasting a 25°C minimum amid 60% rain chances from localized thunderstorms. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity (often 85–95%) limit radiative cooling, while light variable winds reduce mixing that could drop readings further. Recent model runs show overnight lows clustered between 24–27°C, aligning with typical September climatology near 25°C, though scattered heavy showers could trap heat and push the minimum toward 27°C. Conversely, clearer breaks or stronger outflow might allow brief dips near 25°C or lower. Market-implied odds near 50% for both 27°C and 25°C reflect this narrow uncertainty band ahead of final overnight observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日马尼拉的最低温度？
9月20日马尼拉的最低温度？
21°C或以下 95%
25°C 95%
24℃ 20%
23°C 13%
$326 交易量
$326 交易量
2026-09-20
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24℃
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
是
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或更高
否
21°C或以下 95%
25°C 95%
24℃ 20%
23°C 13%
$326 交易量
$326 交易量
2026-09-20
21°C或以下
$0 交易量
否
22°C
$31 交易量
否
23°C
$0 交易量
否
24℃
$25 交易量
否
25°C
$15 交易量
否
26°C
$131 交易量
否
27°C
$93 交易量
是
28°C
$0 交易量
否
29°C
$0 交易量
否
30°C
$0 交易量
否
31°C或更高
$31 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tropical monsoon conditions and the southwest monsoon dominate Manila's overnight temperatures on September 20, 2026, with PAGASA forecasting a 25°C minimum amid 60% rain chances from localized thunderstorms. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity (often 85–95%) limit radiative cooling, while light variable winds reduce mixing that could drop readings further. Recent model runs show overnight lows clustered between 24–27°C, aligning with typical September climatology near 25°C, though scattered heavy showers could trap heat and push the minimum toward 27°C. Conversely, clearer breaks or stronger outflow might allow brief dips near 25°C or lower. Market-implied odds near 50% for both 27°C and 25°C reflect this narrow uncertainty band ahead of final overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$326结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:32 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Tropical monsoon conditions and the southwest monsoon dominate Manila's overnight temperatures on September 20, 2026, with PAGASA forecasting a 25°C minimum amid 60% rain chances from localized thunderstorms. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity (often 85–95%) limit radiative cooling, while light variable winds reduce mixing that could drop readings further. Recent model runs show overnight lows clustered between 24–27°C, aligning with typical September climatology near 25°C, though scattered heavy showers could trap heat and push the minimum toward 27°C. Conversely, clearer breaks or stronger outflow might allow brief dips near 25°C or lower. Market-implied odds near 50% for both 27°C and 25°C reflect this narrow uncertainty band ahead of final overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$326结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:32 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Tropical monsoon conditions and the southwest monsoon dominate Manila's overnight temperatures on September 20, 2026, with PAGASA forecasting a 25°C minimum amid 60% rain chances from localized thunderstorms. Persistent cloud cover and high humidity (often 85–95%) limit radiative cooling, while light variable winds reduce mixing that could drop readings further. Recent model runs show overnight lows clustered between 24–27°C, aligning with typical September climatology near 25°C, though scattered heavy showers could trap heat and push the minimum toward 27°C. Conversely, clearer breaks or stronger outflow might allow brief dips near 25°C or lower. Market-implied odds near 50% for both 27°C and 25°C reflect this narrow uncertainty band ahead of final overnight observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题