Current National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a warm, humid air mass over South Florida with minimal nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, keeping Miami’s August 10 low most likely in the low 80s. Persistent southeasterly flow and high dew points near 75 °F limit temperature drops after sunset, consistent with typical August climatology where daily minima average 78–79 °F but frequently stay above 80 °F. The market’s tight clustering between 80–83 °F (nearly 60 % combined) reflects modest uncertainty around exact cloud cover and any late-night convection that could either trap additional heat or allow brief clearer periods for slightly greater cooling. Updated evening model runs and official minimum observations will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月10日迈阿密最低气温?
82-83°F 34%
80-81°F 28%
84-85°F 25%
78-79°F 14%
71°F或以下
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
1%
90°F或更高
1%
82-83°F 34%
80-81°F 28%
84-85°F 25%
78-79°F 14%
71°F或以下
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
1%
90°F或更高
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 8, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service and NOAA model guidance points to a warm, humid air mass over South Florida with minimal nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, keeping Miami’s August 10 low most likely in the low 80s. Persistent southeasterly flow and high dew points near 75 °F limit temperature drops after sunset, consistent with typical August climatology where daily minima average 78–79 °F but frequently stay above 80 °F. The market’s tight clustering between 80–83 °F (nearly 60 % combined) reflects modest uncertainty around exact cloud cover and any late-night convection that could either trap additional heat or allow brief clearer periods for slightly greater cooling. Updated evening model runs and official minimum observations will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题