Current forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and dry conditions over Paris on September 22, favoring radiative cooling overnight and supporting a minimum near 12–13 °C—close to the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11 °C. These factors position 10–11 °C outcomes as the market focus, with trader consensus reflecting model consensus on modest cooling under high pressure rather than warmer advection. Official Météo-France station data and any late-model updates will determine the exact recorded minimum used for resolution, while historical variability shows September 22 lows ranging from 4.8 °C to 17 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月22日巴黎最低气温?
10°C 42%
9°C 30%
11°C 29%
13°C 13%
7°C或以下
10%
8°C
2%
9°C
30%
10°C
42%
11°C
29%
12°C
11%
13°C
13%
14°C
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C或更高
2%
10°C 42%
9°C 30%
11°C 29%
13°C 13%
7°C或以下
10%
8°C
2%
9°C
30%
10°C
42%
11°C
29%
12°C
11%
13°C
13%
14°C
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models, including GFS runs, indicate clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and dry conditions over Paris on September 22, favoring radiative cooling overnight and supporting a minimum near 12–13 °C—close to the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11 °C. These factors position 10–11 °C outcomes as the market focus, with trader consensus reflecting model consensus on modest cooling under high pressure rather than warmer advection. Official Météo-France station data and any late-model updates will determine the exact recorded minimum used for resolution, while historical variability shows September 22 lows ranging from 4.8 °C to 17 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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