Trader consensus has converged on 19°C as Shanghai’s lowest temperature on May 16, reflecting official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance showing stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and minimal cold-air advection. These factors produced typical radiative cooling under clear skies, anchoring the overnight minimum near the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C. Verified surface observations from local monitoring networks align closely with this outcome, leaving narrow model spread. Resolution hinges on precise station data thresholds, so an unforecasted enhancement in nocturnal cooling remains the primary scenario that could realistically produce an 18°C reading or lower.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月16日上海最低气温？
5月16日上海最低气温？
19°C 99.8%
20°C <1%
14°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
$45,807 交易量
$45,807 交易量
2026-05-16
14°C或以下
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
是
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C或更高
否
19°C 99.8%
20°C <1%
14°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
$45,807 交易量
$45,807 交易量
2026-05-16
14°C或以下
$3,097 交易量
否
15°C
$3,282 交易量
否
16°C
$1,514 交易量
否
17°C
$3,479 交易量
否
18°C
$1,439 交易量
否
19°C
$3,072 交易量
是
20°C
$15,987 交易量
否
21°C
$1,047 交易量
否
22°C
$732 交易量
否
23°C
$1,658 交易量
否
24°C或更高
$10,502 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has converged on 19°C as Shanghai’s lowest temperature on May 16, reflecting official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance showing stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and minimal cold-air advection. These factors produced typical radiative cooling under clear skies, anchoring the overnight minimum near the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C. Verified surface observations from local monitoring networks align closely with this outcome, leaving narrow model spread. Resolution hinges on precise station data thresholds, so an unforecasted enhancement in nocturnal cooling remains the primary scenario that could realistically produce an 18°C reading or lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$45,807结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has converged on 19°C as Shanghai’s lowest temperature on May 16, reflecting official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance showing stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and minimal cold-air advection. These factors produced typical radiative cooling under clear skies, anchoring the overnight minimum near the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C. Verified surface observations from local monitoring networks align closely with this outcome, leaving narrow model spread. Resolution hinges on precise station data thresholds, so an unforecasted enhancement in nocturnal cooling remains the primary scenario that could realistically produce an 18°C reading or lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$45,807结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETTrader consensus has converged on 19°C as Shanghai’s lowest temperature on May 16, reflecting official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance showing stable high-pressure conditions with light winds and minimal cold-air advection. These factors produced typical radiative cooling under clear skies, anchoring the overnight minimum near the mid-May climatological average of 18–20°C. Verified surface observations from local monitoring networks align closely with this outcome, leaving narrow model spread. Resolution hinges on precise station data thresholds, so an unforecasted enhancement in nocturnal cooling remains the primary scenario that could realistically produce an 18°C reading or lower.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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