Short-term numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo overnight lows near 23–25°C on August 19, 2026, driven by moderate radiative cooling under a strengthened Pacific high-pressure system typical of midsummer. Persistent humidity and the urban heat island effect limit further drops, while any increased cloud cover or light winds could nudge minima slightly higher. Historical August climatology shows average lows around 24°C, with recent extended forecasts from AccuWeather and timeanddate.com aligning closely with this range and showing no significant deviations from seasonal norms. Trader consensus reflected in the 50% and 28.5% implied probabilities on 25°C and 24°C outcomes captures this model agreement ahead of final observations, with lower probabilities on outliers underscoring the narrow uncertainty band two days from resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月19日东京最低气温？
8月19日东京最低气温？
25°C 45%
24°C 34%
23°C 14%
26°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
20°C或以下
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
14%
24°C
34%
25°C
45%
26°C
10%
27°C
2%
28℃
4%
29°C
1%
30℃或以上
<1%
25°C 45%
24°C 34%
23°C 14%
26°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
20°C或以下
$42 交易量
<1%
21°C
$10 交易量
1%
22°C
$32 交易量
3%
23°C
$84 交易量
14%
24°C
$130 交易量
34%
25°C
$145 交易量
45%
26°C
$159 交易量
10%
27°C
$42 交易量
2%
28℃
$10 交易量
4%
29°C
$5 交易量
1%
30℃或以上
$10 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo overnight lows near 23–25°C on August 19, 2026, driven by moderate radiative cooling under a strengthened Pacific high-pressure system typical of midsummer. Persistent humidity and the urban heat island effect limit further drops, while any increased cloud cover or light winds could nudge minima slightly higher. Historical August climatology shows average lows around 24°C, with recent extended forecasts from AccuWeather and timeanddate.com aligning closely with this range and showing no significant deviations from seasonal norms. Trader consensus reflected in the 50% and 28.5% implied probabilities on 25°C and 24°C outcomes captures this model agreement ahead of final observations, with lower probabilities on outliers underscoring the narrow uncertainty band two days from resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$671结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo overnight lows near 23–25°C on August 19, 2026, driven by moderate radiative cooling under a strengthened Pacific high-pressure system typical of midsummer. Persistent humidity and the urban heat island effect limit further drops, while any increased cloud cover or light winds could nudge minima slightly higher. Historical August climatology shows average lows around 24°C, with recent extended forecasts from AccuWeather and timeanddate.com aligning closely with this range and showing no significant deviations from seasonal norms. Trader consensus reflected in the 50% and 28.5% implied probabilities on 25°C and 24°C outcomes captures this model agreement ahead of final observations, with lower probabilities on outliers underscoring the narrow uncertainty band two days from resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$671结束日期
2026-08-19市场开放时间
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETShort-term numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate Tokyo overnight lows near 23–25°C on August 19, 2026, driven by moderate radiative cooling under a strengthened Pacific high-pressure system typical of midsummer. Persistent humidity and the urban heat island effect limit further drops, while any increased cloud cover or light winds could nudge minima slightly higher. Historical August climatology shows average lows around 24°C, with recent extended forecasts from AccuWeather and timeanddate.com aligning closely with this range and showing no significant deviations from seasonal norms. Trader consensus reflected in the 50% and 28.5% implied probabilities on 25°C and 24°C outcomes captures this model agreement ahead of final observations, with lower probabilities on outliers underscoring the narrow uncertainty band two days from resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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