Current forecast models from MetService and international agencies point to a minimum temperature near 9°C in Wellington overnight on September 20, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies enabling radiative cooling under southerly winds of 10–15 knots. This aligns with typical early-spring climatology, where average September lows hover around 9°C, though variable cloud and wind gusts up to 30 km/h introduce modest uncertainty in the precise minimum. Hourly data through the evening show temperatures falling from daytime highs near 13–14°C toward 7–9°C by dawn, supporting trader consensus around the 9°C threshold while limiting probability for warmer outcomes like 10°C. Updated model runs and official observations later tonight will refine resolution criteria.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月20日惠灵顿的最低温度？
9月20日惠灵顿的最低温度？
9°C 99.5%
7°C 1.0%
8°C 1.0%
5°C或以下 <1%
$699 交易量
$699 交易量
2026-09-20
5°C或以下
否
6°C
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
是
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C或更高
否
9°C 99.5%
7°C 1.0%
8°C 1.0%
5°C或以下 <1%
$699 交易量
$699 交易量
2026-09-20
5°C或以下
$31 交易量
否
6°C
$31 交易量
否
7°C
$25 交易量
否
8°C
$15 交易量
否
9°C
$215 交易量
是
10°C
$206 交易量
否
11°C
$16 交易量
否
12°C
$37 交易量
否
13°C
$41 交易量
否
14°C
$41 交易量
否
15°C或更高
$41 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from MetService and international agencies point to a minimum temperature near 9°C in Wellington overnight on September 20, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies enabling radiative cooling under southerly winds of 10–15 knots. This aligns with typical early-spring climatology, where average September lows hover around 9°C, though variable cloud and wind gusts up to 30 km/h introduce modest uncertainty in the precise minimum. Hourly data through the evening show temperatures falling from daytime highs near 13–14°C toward 7–9°C by dawn, supporting trader consensus around the 9°C threshold while limiting probability for warmer outcomes like 10°C. Updated model runs and official observations later tonight will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$699结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from MetService and international agencies point to a minimum temperature near 9°C in Wellington overnight on September 20, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies enabling radiative cooling under southerly winds of 10–15 knots. This aligns with typical early-spring climatology, where average September lows hover around 9°C, though variable cloud and wind gusts up to 30 km/h introduce modest uncertainty in the precise minimum. Hourly data through the evening show temperatures falling from daytime highs near 13–14°C toward 7–9°C by dawn, supporting trader consensus around the 9°C threshold while limiting probability for warmer outcomes like 10°C. Updated model runs and official observations later tonight will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$699结束日期
2026-09-20市场开放时间
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Current forecast models from MetService and international agencies point to a minimum temperature near 9°C in Wellington overnight on September 20, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies enabling radiative cooling under southerly winds of 10–15 knots. This aligns with typical early-spring climatology, where average September lows hover around 9°C, though variable cloud and wind gusts up to 30 km/h introduce modest uncertainty in the precise minimum. Hourly data through the evening show temperatures falling from daytime highs near 13–14°C toward 7–9°C by dawn, supporting trader consensus around the 9°C threshold while limiting probability for warmer outcomes like 10°C. Updated model runs and official observations later tonight will refine resolution criteria.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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