**The open Massachusetts 6th congressional district seat, vacated by Rep. Seth Moulton for his U.S. Senate primary challenge against Sen. Ed Markey, anchors trader consensus at 95.4% for the Democratic Party ahead of the September 1 primaries and November 3 general election.** This solidly Democratic district, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+11 and a history of double-digit Democratic margins, features a crowded primary field including Dan Koh and others, contrasting a thin Republican lineup headlined by Army veteran Micah Jones, who entered in February. No recent polling or developments indicate competitiveness, reinforcing the partisan baseline. While a post-primary Democratic nominee scandal, national Republican midterm wave, or extraordinary GOP turnout could theoretically challenge this, such shifts remain highly improbable given the district's entrenched blue lean and lack of battleground dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,682 交易量
$14,682 交易量
民主党
96%
共和党
3%
$14,682 交易量
$14,682 交易量
民主党
96%
共和党
3%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...**The open Massachusetts 6th congressional district seat, vacated by Rep. Seth Moulton for his U.S. Senate primary challenge against Sen. Ed Markey, anchors trader consensus at 95.4% for the Democratic Party ahead of the September 1 primaries and November 3 general election.** This solidly Democratic district, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+11 and a history of double-digit Democratic margins, features a crowded primary field including Dan Koh and others, contrasting a thin Republican lineup headlined by Army veteran Micah Jones, who entered in February. No recent polling or developments indicate competitiveness, reinforcing the partisan baseline. While a post-primary Democratic nominee scandal, national Republican midterm wave, or extraordinary GOP turnout could theoretically challenge this, such shifts remain highly improbable given the district's entrenched blue lean and lack of battleground dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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