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icon for 在巴西选举中,有多少同性恋者成为副州长?

在巴西选举中,有多少同性恋者成为副州长?

icon for 在巴西选举中,有多少同性恋者成为副州长?

在巴西选举中,有多少同性恋者成为副州长?

0 85%

1 14%

2+ 4.0%

Polymarket
最新

0 85%

1 14%

2+ 4.0%

Polymarket
最新

0

$21 交易量

85%

1

$0 交易量

14%

2+

$0 交易量

4%

General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of non-heterosexual candidates who win election as Vice Governor (Vice-Governador) in the specified elections. A candidate will be considered “non-heterosexual” if they declare a sexual orientation (orientação sexual) visible on the Brazilian candidature divulgence portal (Divulgação de Candidaturas e Contas Eleitorais, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/) on October 3, 2026, 12:00 PM Brasilia time, and that declared orientation is not heterosexual. This market will resolve according to sexual orientation declarations visible at the specified time. Future revisions, retractions, and withdrawals will not be considered. Candidates who abstain from declaring a sexual orientation on the candidature divulgence portal will not be considered. This market will include all candidates for the office of Vice Governor (Vice-Governador) present on the candidature divulgence portal. Candidates for any other office will not be considered. A candidate will be considered to have won if they are elected to the office they are contesting, regardless of how many candidates may be elected to the same position. A candidate’s sexual self-description, rumors, and behavior outside of the candidature divulgence portal will not be considered. The gender identity of the relevant candidates will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results and information as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).The market's leading outcome of zero gay vice governors reflects Brazil's conservative electoral dynamics and the scarcity of openly non-heterosexual candidates securing viable running-mate slots in the 2026 gubernatorial races. Strong evangelical voter blocs and polarized coalitions have historically sidelined such candidacies, with few high-profile announcements or guild-style endorsements elevating any contenders ahead of the October vote. Recent mapping efforts by groups tracking LGBT+ representation show limited momentum in state-level tickets, while major presidential slates feature conventional pairings without shifting public sentiment. This positions the single-win scenario as a distant secondary play, contingent on late breakthroughs in key states.

General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of non-heterosexual candidates who win election as Vice Governor (Vice-Governador) in the specified elections.

A candidate will be considered “non-heterosexual” if they declare a sexual orientation (orientação sexual) visible on the Brazilian candidature divulgence portal (Divulgação de Candidaturas e Contas Eleitorais, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/) on October 3, 2026, 12:00 PM Brasilia time, and that declared orientation is not heterosexual. This market will resolve according to sexual orientation declarations visible at the specified time. Future revisions, retractions, and withdrawals will not be considered. Candidates who abstain from declaring a sexual orientation on the candidature divulgence portal will not be considered.

This market will include all candidates for the office of Vice Governor (Vice-Governador) present on the candidature divulgence portal. Candidates for any other office will not be considered. A candidate will be considered to have won if they are elected to the office they are contesting, regardless of how many candidates may be elected to the same position.

A candidate’s sexual self-description, rumors, and behavior outside of the candidature divulgence portal will not be considered.

The gender identity of the relevant candidates will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results and information as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$21
结束日期
2026-10-04
市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 11:05 AM ET
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of non-heterosexual candidates who win election as Vice Governor (Vice-Governador) in the specified elections. A candidate will be considered “non-heterosexual” if they declare a sexual orientation (orientação sexual) visible on the Brazilian candidature divulgence portal (Divulgação de Candidaturas e Contas Eleitorais, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/) on October 3, 2026, 12:00 PM Brasilia time, and that declared orientation is not heterosexual. This market will resolve according to sexual orientation declarations visible at the specified time. Future revisions, retractions, and withdrawals will not be considered. Candidates who abstain from declaring a sexual orientation on the candidature divulgence portal will not be considered. This market will include all candidates for the office of Vice Governor (Vice-Governador) present on the candidature divulgence portal. Candidates for any other office will not be considered. A candidate will be considered to have won if they are elected to the office they are contesting, regardless of how many candidates may be elected to the same position. A candidate’s sexual self-description, rumors, and behavior outside of the candidature divulgence portal will not be considered. The gender identity of the relevant candidates will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results and information as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of non-heterosexual candidates who win election as Vice Governor (Vice-Governador) in the specified elections. A candidate will be considered “non-heterosexual” if they declare a sexual orientation (orientação sexual) visible on the Brazilian candidature divulgence portal (Divulgação de Candidaturas e Contas Eleitorais, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/) on October 3, 2026, 12:00 PM Brasilia time, and that declared orientation is not heterosexual. This market will resolve according to sexual orientation declarations visible at the specified time. Future revisions, retractions, and withdrawals will not be considered. Candidates who abstain from declaring a sexual orientation on the candidature divulgence portal will not be considered. This market will include all candidates for the office of Vice Governor (Vice-Governador) present on the candidature divulgence portal. Candidates for any other office will not be considered. A candidate will be considered to have won if they are elected to the office they are contesting, regardless of how many candidates may be elected to the same position. A candidate’s sexual self-description, rumors, and behavior outside of the candidature divulgence portal will not be considered. The gender identity of the relevant candidates will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results and information as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).The market's leading outcome of zero gay vice governors reflects Brazil's conservative electoral dynamics and the scarcity of openly non-heterosexual candidates securing viable running-mate slots in the 2026 gubernatorial races. Strong evangelical voter blocs and polarized coalitions have historically sidelined such candidacies, with few high-profile announcements or guild-style endorsements elevating any contenders ahead of the October vote. Recent mapping efforts by groups tracking LGBT+ representation show limited momentum in state-level tickets, while major presidential slates feature conventional pairings without shifting public sentiment. This positions the single-win scenario as a distant secondary play, contingent on late breakthroughs in key states.

General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of non-heterosexual candidates who win election as Vice Governor (Vice-Governador) in the specified elections.

A candidate will be considered “non-heterosexual” if they declare a sexual orientation (orientação sexual) visible on the Brazilian candidature divulgence portal (Divulgação de Candidaturas e Contas Eleitorais, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/) on October 3, 2026, 12:00 PM Brasilia time, and that declared orientation is not heterosexual. This market will resolve according to sexual orientation declarations visible at the specified time. Future revisions, retractions, and withdrawals will not be considered. Candidates who abstain from declaring a sexual orientation on the candidature divulgence portal will not be considered.

This market will include all candidates for the office of Vice Governor (Vice-Governador) present on the candidature divulgence portal. Candidates for any other office will not be considered. A candidate will be considered to have won if they are elected to the office they are contesting, regardless of how many candidates may be elected to the same position.

A candidate’s sexual self-description, rumors, and behavior outside of the candidature divulgence portal will not be considered.

The gender identity of the relevant candidates will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results and information as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$21
结束日期
2026-10-04
市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 11:05 AM ET
General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of non-heterosexual candidates who win election as Vice Governor (Vice-Governador) in the specified elections. A candidate will be considered “non-heterosexual” if they declare a sexual orientation (orientação sexual) visible on the Brazilian candidature divulgence portal (Divulgação de Candidaturas e Contas Eleitorais, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/) on October 3, 2026, 12:00 PM Brasilia time, and that declared orientation is not heterosexual. This market will resolve according to sexual orientation declarations visible at the specified time. Future revisions, retractions, and withdrawals will not be considered. Candidates who abstain from declaring a sexual orientation on the candidature divulgence portal will not be considered. This market will include all candidates for the office of Vice Governor (Vice-Governador) present on the candidature divulgence portal. Candidates for any other office will not be considered. A candidate will be considered to have won if they are elected to the office they are contesting, regardless of how many candidates may be elected to the same position. A candidate’s sexual self-description, rumors, and behavior outside of the candidature divulgence portal will not be considered. The gender identity of the relevant candidates will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results and information as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"在巴西选举中,有多少同性恋者成为副州长?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 3 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"0",概率为 85%,其次是"1",概率为 14%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 85¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 85%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"在巴西选举中,有多少同性恋者成为副州长?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Aug 18, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"在巴西选举中,有多少同性恋者成为副州长?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 3 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"在巴西选举中,有多少同性恋者成为副州长?"的当前领先者是"0",概率为 85%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 85%。紧随其后的结果是"1",概率为 14%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"在巴西选举中,有多少同性恋者成为副州长?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。