Incumbent Rep. Lisa McClain (R) dominates trader sentiment in the R+16 leaning MI-09 House race, reflecting her 66.8% 2024 victory margin, elevation to House Republican Conference Chairwoman late last year, and $4.2 million fundraising haul through March—dwarfing Democratic primary contender Ray Pooley's $2,500. With no polls showing competitiveness and ratings as Solid Republican from Cook Political Report and others, markets price Republicans at 91.5% to hold the seat November 3. Scenarios challenging this include a McClain primary upset August 4, personal scandal, or an unprecedented national Democratic midterm wave shifting the generic ballot over eight points.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
92%
民主党
9%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$8,808 交易量
92%
民主党
$300 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Lisa McClain (R) dominates trader sentiment in the R+16 leaning MI-09 House race, reflecting her 66.8% 2024 victory margin, elevation to House Republican Conference Chairwoman late last year, and $4.2 million fundraising haul through March—dwarfing Democratic primary contender Ray Pooley's $2,500. With no polls showing competitiveness and ratings as Solid Republican from Cook Political Report and others, markets price Republicans at 91.5% to hold the seat November 3. Scenarios challenging this include a McClain primary upset August 4, personal scandal, or an unprecedented national Democratic midterm wave shifting the generic ballot over eight points.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$9,108结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Lisa McClain (R) dominates trader sentiment in the R+16 leaning MI-09 House race, reflecting her 66.8% 2024 victory margin, elevation to House Republican Conference Chairwoman late last year, and $4.2 million fundraising haul through March—dwarfing Democratic primary contender Ray Pooley's $2,500. With no polls showing competitiveness and ratings as Solid Republican from Cook Political Report and others, markets price Republicans at 91.5% to hold the seat November 3. Scenarios challenging this include a McClain primary upset August 4, personal scandal, or an unprecedented national Democratic midterm wave shifting the generic ballot over eight points.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,108结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Lisa McClain (R) dominates trader sentiment in the R+16 leaning MI-09 House race, reflecting her 66.8% 2024 victory margin, elevation to House Republican Conference Chairwoman late last year, and $4.2 million fundraising haul through March—dwarfing Democratic primary contender Ray Pooley's $2,500. With no polls showing competitiveness and ratings as Solid Republican from Cook Political Report and others, markets price Republicans at 91.5% to hold the seat November 3. Scenarios challenging this include a McClain primary upset August 4, personal scandal, or an unprecedented national Democratic midterm wave shifting the generic ballot over eight points.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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