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icon for NH-01共和党初选获胜者
选举·主要

NH-01共和党初选获胜者

icon for NH-01共和党初选获胜者
选举·主要

NH-01共和党初选获胜者

安东尼·迪洛伦佐 44%

Hollie Noveletsky 37%

伊丽莎白·吉拉德 10.1%

梅利莎·贝利 6%

Polymarket

$38,533 交易量

安东尼·迪洛伦佐 44%

Hollie Noveletsky 37%

伊丽莎白·吉拉德 10.1%

梅利莎·贝利 6%

Polymarket

$38,533 交易量

安东尼·迪洛伦佐

$1,135 交易量

45%

Hollie Noveletsky

$22,522 交易量

37%

伊丽莎白·吉拉德

$13,346 交易量

18%

梅利莎·贝利

$843 交易量

6%

Brian Cole

$686 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Turning Point Action's endorsement of Anthony DiLorenzo two days ago has solidified his trader consensus lead at 48% implied probability in the NH-01 Republican primary, amplifying his outsider businessman appeal focused on energy costs, federal spending cuts, and private-sector efficiency amid a recent Dartmouth interview. Hollie Noveletsky trails closely at 37%, buoyed by her strong first-quarter 2026 fundraising reported April 13 and a March ad attacking DiLorenzo's immigration record, underscoring her authenticity as a nurse, Army Reserves veteran, and CEO. The April 14 Conway debate among frontrunners highlighted policy contrasts, while Elizabeth Girard (18%), Melissa Bailey (recent mothers' roundtable), and Brian Cole (1%) lag without comparable momentum. No public polls exist ahead of the September 8 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$38,533
结束日期
2026-09-08
市场开放时间
Feb 23, 2026, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Turning Point Action's endorsement of Anthony DiLorenzo two days ago has solidified his trader consensus lead at 48% implied probability in the NH-01 Republican primary, amplifying his outsider businessman appeal focused on energy costs, federal spending cuts, and private-sector efficiency amid a recent Dartmouth interview. Hollie Noveletsky trails closely at 37%, buoyed by her strong first-quarter 2026 fundraising reported April 13 and a March ad attacking DiLorenzo's immigration record, underscoring her authenticity as a nurse, Army Reserves veteran, and CEO. The April 14 Conway debate among frontrunners highlighted policy contrasts, while Elizabeth Girard (18%), Melissa Bailey (recent mothers' roundtable), and Brian Cole (1%) lag without comparable momentum. No public polls exist ahead of the September 8 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$38,533
结束日期
2026-09-08
市场开放时间
Feb 23, 2026, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"NH-01共和党初选获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 5 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"安东尼·迪洛伦佐"，概率为 46%，其次是"Hollie Noveletsky"，概率为 37%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 46¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 46%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"NH-01共和党初选获胜者"已产生 $38.5K 的总交易量（自Feb 23, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"NH-01共和党初选获胜者"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 5 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"NH-01共和党初选获胜者"的当前领先者是"安东尼·迪洛伦佐"，概率为 46%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 46%。紧随其后的结果是"Hollie Noveletsky"，概率为 37%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"NH-01共和党初选获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。