Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.4% for Nord Stream pipelines resuming gas flows before 2027, reflecting severe physical damage from the 2022 Baltic Sea sabotage—three of four lines remain inoperable—and Europe's firm policy shift away from Russian gas imports. The European Commission reiterated on May 14 its commitment to phasing out all Russian gas by 2027 under REPowerEU, dismissing recent speculation of U.S.-Russia talks raised by Foreign Minister Lavrov in March. Ongoing German and Swedish investigations, including a February Spiegel report on potential CIA foreknowledge of Ukrainian involvement, have stalled repairs amid sanctions and political toxicity. While a surprise diplomatic breakthrough like a Ukraine ceasefire or U.S.-overseen revival could shift odds, no repair permits or funding advances have materialized in over three years.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$10,541 交易量
$10,541 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$10,541 交易量
$10,541 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.4% for Nord Stream pipelines resuming gas flows before 2027, reflecting severe physical damage from the 2022 Baltic Sea sabotage—three of four lines remain inoperable—and Europe's firm policy shift away from Russian gas imports. The European Commission reiterated on May 14 its commitment to phasing out all Russian gas by 2027 under REPowerEU, dismissing recent speculation of U.S.-Russia talks raised by Foreign Minister Lavrov in March. Ongoing German and Swedish investigations, including a February Spiegel report on potential CIA foreknowledge of Ukrainian involvement, have stalled repairs amid sanctions and political toxicity. While a surprise diplomatic breakthrough like a Ukraine ceasefire or U.S.-overseen revival could shift odds, no repair permits or funding advances have materialized in over three years.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ET
交易量
$10,541结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.4% for Nord Stream pipelines resuming gas flows before 2027, reflecting severe physical damage from the 2022 Baltic Sea sabotage—three of four lines remain inoperable—and Europe's firm policy shift away from Russian gas imports. The European Commission reiterated on May 14 its commitment to phasing out all Russian gas by 2027 under REPowerEU, dismissing recent speculation of U.S.-Russia talks raised by Foreign Minister Lavrov in March. Ongoing German and Swedish investigations, including a February Spiegel report on potential CIA foreknowledge of Ukrainian involvement, have stalled repairs amid sanctions and political toxicity. While a surprise diplomatic breakthrough like a Ukraine ceasefire or U.S.-overseen revival could shift odds, no repair permits or funding advances have materialized in over three years.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$10,541结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 95.4% for Nord Stream pipelines resuming gas flows before 2027, reflecting severe physical damage from the 2022 Baltic Sea sabotage—three of four lines remain inoperable—and Europe's firm policy shift away from Russian gas imports. The European Commission reiterated on May 14 its commitment to phasing out all Russian gas by 2027 under REPowerEU, dismissing recent speculation of U.S.-Russia talks raised by Foreign Minister Lavrov in March. Ongoing German and Swedish investigations, including a February Spiegel report on potential CIA foreknowledge of Ukrainian involvement, have stalled repairs amid sanctions and political toxicity. While a surprise diplomatic breakthrough like a Ukraine ceasefire or U.S.-overseen revival could shift odds, no repair permits or funding advances have materialized in over three years.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题