Oklahoma's entrenched Republican advantage in statewide contests underpins the market's 93.5% Republican probability. The governorship is an open seat after term limits ended Kevin Stitt's tenure, and all major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Democrats have not won a statewide office since 2006, and recent presidential results show GOP margins exceeding 30 points. The Democratic nominee, Cyndi Munson, emerged from her June primary, while Republicans head to an August 25 runoff between leading contenders. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors and historical voting patterns. A major scandal involving the eventual Republican nominee or an unforeseen national political shift could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability events given the state's partisan baseline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$25,387 交易量
$25,387 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
$25,387 交易量
$25,387 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$11,678 交易量
94%
民主党
$13,709 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's entrenched Republican advantage in statewide contests underpins the market's 93.5% Republican probability. The governorship is an open seat after term limits ended Kevin Stitt's tenure, and all major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Democrats have not won a statewide office since 2006, and recent presidential results show GOP margins exceeding 30 points. The Democratic nominee, Cyndi Munson, emerged from her June primary, while Republicans head to an August 25 runoff between leading contenders. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors and historical voting patterns. A major scandal involving the eventual Republican nominee or an unforeseen national political shift could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability events given the state's partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
交易量
$25,387结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's entrenched Republican advantage in statewide contests underpins the market's 93.5% Republican probability. The governorship is an open seat after term limits ended Kevin Stitt's tenure, and all major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Democrats have not won a statewide office since 2006, and recent presidential results show GOP margins exceeding 30 points. The Democratic nominee, Cyndi Munson, emerged from her June primary, while Republicans head to an August 25 runoff between leading contenders. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors and historical voting patterns. A major scandal involving the eventual Republican nominee or an unforeseen national political shift could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability events given the state's partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Oklahoma gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$25,387结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's entrenched Republican advantage in statewide contests underpins the market's 93.5% Republican probability. The governorship is an open seat after term limits ended Kevin Stitt's tenure, and all major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Democrats have not won a statewide office since 2006, and recent presidential results show GOP margins exceeding 30 points. The Democratic nominee, Cyndi Munson, emerged from her June primary, while Republicans head to an August 25 runoff between leading contenders. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors and historical voting patterns. A major scandal involving the eventual Republican nominee or an unforeseen national political shift could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability events given the state's partisan baseline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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