Incumbent Democrat Wes Moore holds a commanding position in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean, his strong primary performance, and polling leads of roughly 27 points over Republican Dan Cox. Recent surveys show Moore maintaining majority job approval amid advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and campaign infrastructure. Historical patterns reinforce this outlook, with no Democratic incumbent losing reelection since 1934. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors. A major scandal, sharp economic deterioration, or unforeseen health event could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial evidence to alter the current implied probabilities ahead of the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$22,105 交易量
$22,105 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
97%
共和党
3%
$22,105 交易量
$22,105 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$13,007 交易量
97%
共和党
$9,098 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Wes Moore holds a commanding position in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean, his strong primary performance, and polling leads of roughly 27 points over Republican Dan Cox. Recent surveys show Moore maintaining majority job approval amid advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and campaign infrastructure. Historical patterns reinforce this outlook, with no Democratic incumbent losing reelection since 1934. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors. A major scandal, sharp economic deterioration, or unforeseen health event could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial evidence to alter the current implied probabilities ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
交易量
$22,105结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Wes Moore holds a commanding position in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean, his strong primary performance, and polling leads of roughly 27 points over Republican Dan Cox. Recent surveys show Moore maintaining majority job approval amid advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and campaign infrastructure. Historical patterns reinforce this outlook, with no Democratic incumbent losing reelection since 1934. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors. A major scandal, sharp economic deterioration, or unforeseen health event could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial evidence to alter the current implied probabilities ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$22,105结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETIncumbent Democrat Wes Moore holds a commanding position in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial race due to the state's consistent Democratic lean, his strong primary performance, and polling leads of roughly 27 points over Republican Dan Cox. Recent surveys show Moore maintaining majority job approval amid advantages in fundraising, name recognition, and campaign infrastructure. Historical patterns reinforce this outlook, with no Democratic incumbent losing reelection since 1934. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors. A major scandal, sharp economic deterioration, or unforeseen health event could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial evidence to alter the current implied probabilities ahead of the November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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