Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore holds a commanding position in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election due to the state's consistent Democratic lean, demonstrated by Kamala Harris's 28.5-point 2024 victory and the absence of an incumbent Democrat losing reelection since 1934. Moore secured his party's nomination easily in the June 2026 primary, maintains a substantial fundraising edge, and leads Republican nominee Dan Cox 58-31 percent in the most recent August polling. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the market's implied probability. Potential shifts could arise from late-breaking scandals, a severe localized economic downturn, or an unprecedented national Republican surge, though historical patterns and structural advantages limit such scenarios.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$22,105 交易量
$22,105 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
97%
共和党
3%
$22,105 交易量
$22,105 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$13,007 交易量
97%
共和党
$9,098 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore holds a commanding position in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election due to the state's consistent Democratic lean, demonstrated by Kamala Harris's 28.5-point 2024 victory and the absence of an incumbent Democrat losing reelection since 1934. Moore secured his party's nomination easily in the June 2026 primary, maintains a substantial fundraising edge, and leads Republican nominee Dan Cox 58-31 percent in the most recent August polling. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the market's implied probability. Potential shifts could arise from late-breaking scandals, a severe localized economic downturn, or an unprecedented national Republican surge, though historical patterns and structural advantages limit such scenarios.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
交易量
$22,105结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore holds a commanding position in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election due to the state's consistent Democratic lean, demonstrated by Kamala Harris's 28.5-point 2024 victory and the absence of an incumbent Democrat losing reelection since 1934. Moore secured his party's nomination easily in the June 2026 primary, maintains a substantial fundraising edge, and leads Republican nominee Dan Cox 58-31 percent in the most recent August polling. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the market's implied probability. Potential shifts could arise from late-breaking scandals, a severe localized economic downturn, or an unprecedented national Republican surge, though historical patterns and structural advantages limit such scenarios.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$22,105结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETIncumbent Democratic Governor Wes Moore holds a commanding position in the 2026 Maryland gubernatorial election due to the state's consistent Democratic lean, demonstrated by Kamala Harris's 28.5-point 2024 victory and the absence of an incumbent Democrat losing reelection since 1934. Moore secured his party's nomination easily in the June 2026 primary, maintains a substantial fundraising edge, and leads Republican nominee Dan Cox 58-31 percent in the most recent August polling. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the market's implied probability. Potential shifts could arise from late-breaking scandals, a severe localized economic downturn, or an unprecedented national Republican surge, though historical patterns and structural advantages limit such scenarios.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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