Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Shapiro holds a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race, reflected in the market's strong consensus for a Democratic victory. Recent polls show him leading Republican challenger Stacy Garrity by 18 to 22 points, driven by his established record on state priorities including education funding, infrastructure, and economic development. The Democratic primary on May 19 and the general election on November 3 further shape trader assessments, with Shapiro positioned as the clear frontrunner. Ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report classify the contest as Solid Democratic. While this dominance aligns with historical incumbent advantages in Pennsylvania, shifts could arise from unexpected primary outcomes, changes in national political momentum, or late-breaking events affecting voter turnout in key regions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$17,273 交易量
$17,273 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
92%
共和党
6%
$17,273 交易量
$17,273 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$6,445 交易量
92%
共和党
$10,828 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Shapiro holds a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race, reflected in the market's strong consensus for a Democratic victory. Recent polls show him leading Republican challenger Stacy Garrity by 18 to 22 points, driven by his established record on state priorities including education funding, infrastructure, and economic development. The Democratic primary on May 19 and the general election on November 3 further shape trader assessments, with Shapiro positioned as the clear frontrunner. Ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report classify the contest as Solid Democratic. While this dominance aligns with historical incumbent advantages in Pennsylvania, shifts could arise from unexpected primary outcomes, changes in national political momentum, or late-breaking events affecting voter turnout in key regions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
交易量
$17,273结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Shapiro holds a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race, reflected in the market's strong consensus for a Democratic victory. Recent polls show him leading Republican challenger Stacy Garrity by 18 to 22 points, driven by his established record on state priorities including education funding, infrastructure, and economic development. The Democratic primary on May 19 and the general election on November 3 further shape trader assessments, with Shapiro positioned as the clear frontrunner. Ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report classify the contest as Solid Democratic. While this dominance aligns with historical incumbent advantages in Pennsylvania, shifts could arise from unexpected primary outcomes, changes in national political momentum, or late-breaking events affecting voter turnout in key regions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$17,273结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Josh Shapiro holds a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race, reflected in the market's strong consensus for a Democratic victory. Recent polls show him leading Republican challenger Stacy Garrity by 18 to 22 points, driven by his established record on state priorities including education funding, infrastructure, and economic development. The Democratic primary on May 19 and the general election on November 3 further shape trader assessments, with Shapiro positioned as the clear frontrunner. Ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report classify the contest as Solid Democratic. While this dominance aligns with historical incumbent advantages in Pennsylvania, shifts could arise from unexpected primary outcomes, changes in national political momentum, or late-breaking events affecting voter turnout in key regions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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