Incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro holds a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race due to sustained double-digit polling leads averaging around 16-20 points against Republican state Treasurer Stacy Garrity in recent surveys from Siena, Franklin & Marshall, and Quinnipiac. His approval ratings near 56-60%, broad crossover appeal among independents and some Republicans, and fundraising advantage exceeding $18 million in early 2026 underscore incumbency strength and name recognition in a state that historically reelects governors by wide margins. Garrity faces headwinds from limited visibility and lower resources. Trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democrat reflects these structural and performance factors, though late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp national political shifts could still alter the trajectory before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$49,101 交易量
$49,101 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
96%
共和党
3%
$49,101 交易量
$49,101 交易量
2026-11-02
民主党
$7,465 交易量
96%
共和党
$41,635 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro holds a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race due to sustained double-digit polling leads averaging around 16-20 points against Republican state Treasurer Stacy Garrity in recent surveys from Siena, Franklin & Marshall, and Quinnipiac. His approval ratings near 56-60%, broad crossover appeal among independents and some Republicans, and fundraising advantage exceeding $18 million in early 2026 underscore incumbency strength and name recognition in a state that historically reelects governors by wide margins. Garrity faces headwinds from limited visibility and lower resources. Trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democrat reflects these structural and performance factors, though late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp national political shifts could still alter the trajectory before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
交易量
$49,101结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro holds a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race due to sustained double-digit polling leads averaging around 16-20 points against Republican state Treasurer Stacy Garrity in recent surveys from Siena, Franklin & Marshall, and Quinnipiac. His approval ratings near 56-60%, broad crossover appeal among independents and some Republicans, and fundraising advantage exceeding $18 million in early 2026 underscore incumbency strength and name recognition in a state that historically reelects governors by wide margins. Garrity faces headwinds from limited visibility and lower resources. Trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democrat reflects these structural and performance factors, though late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp national political shifts could still alter the trajectory before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$49,101结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETIncumbent Democrat Josh Shapiro holds a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race due to sustained double-digit polling leads averaging around 16-20 points against Republican state Treasurer Stacy Garrity in recent surveys from Siena, Franklin & Marshall, and Quinnipiac. His approval ratings near 56-60%, broad crossover appeal among independents and some Republicans, and fundraising advantage exceeding $18 million in early 2026 underscore incumbency strength and name recognition in a state that historically reelects governors by wide margins. Garrity faces headwinds from limited visibility and lower resources. Trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democrat reflects these structural and performance factors, though late developments such as major scandals, health events, or sharp national political shifts could still alter the trajectory before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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