Wesley Bell secured the Democratic nomination for Missouri’s 1st congressional district in the August 4 primary, defeating former Rep. Cori Bush by roughly 22 points and advancing as the clear incumbent. The St. Louis-based district has long favored Democratic candidates, with Bell capturing nearly 76 percent in the 2024 general election under similar boundaries. Republican nominee Paul Berry III faces structural headwinds in a constituency that consistently delivers large Democratic margins in federal contests. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic, aligning with trader pricing that assigns overwhelming probability to the Democratic outcome. A Republican victory would require either an unforeseen redistricting shift before November or an unprecedented swing in local turnout and voter behavior that has not materialized in recent cycles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$35,092 交易量
$35,092 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
97%
共和党
2%
$35,092 交易量
$35,092 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$21,487 交易量
97%
共和党
$13,604 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wesley Bell secured the Democratic nomination for Missouri’s 1st congressional district in the August 4 primary, defeating former Rep. Cori Bush by roughly 22 points and advancing as the clear incumbent. The St. Louis-based district has long favored Democratic candidates, with Bell capturing nearly 76 percent in the 2024 general election under similar boundaries. Republican nominee Paul Berry III faces structural headwinds in a constituency that consistently delivers large Democratic margins in federal contests. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic, aligning with trader pricing that assigns overwhelming probability to the Democratic outcome. A Republican victory would require either an unforeseen redistricting shift before November or an unprecedented swing in local turnout and voter behavior that has not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$35,092结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wesley Bell secured the Democratic nomination for Missouri’s 1st congressional district in the August 4 primary, defeating former Rep. Cori Bush by roughly 22 points and advancing as the clear incumbent. The St. Louis-based district has long favored Democratic candidates, with Bell capturing nearly 76 percent in the 2024 general election under similar boundaries. Republican nominee Paul Berry III faces structural headwinds in a constituency that consistently delivers large Democratic margins in federal contests. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic, aligning with trader pricing that assigns overwhelming probability to the Democratic outcome. A Republican victory would require either an unforeseen redistricting shift before November or an unprecedented swing in local turnout and voter behavior that has not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$35,092结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wesley Bell secured the Democratic nomination for Missouri’s 1st congressional district in the August 4 primary, defeating former Rep. Cori Bush by roughly 22 points and advancing as the clear incumbent. The St. Louis-based district has long favored Democratic candidates, with Bell capturing nearly 76 percent in the 2024 general election under similar boundaries. Republican nominee Paul Berry III faces structural headwinds in a constituency that consistently delivers large Democratic margins in federal contests. Nonpartisan rating firms classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic, aligning with trader pricing that assigns overwhelming probability to the Democratic outcome. A Republican victory would require either an unforeseen redistricting shift before November or an unprecedented swing in local turnout and voter behavior that has not materialized in recent cycles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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