Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York’s 11th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, backed by the seat’s R+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit victories in prior cycles. Both major-party nominees advanced through June primaries without notable challenges, and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solidly Republican. Traders’ 93.5% consensus on the Republican outcome aligns with these structural factors and the absence of recent polling or fundraising signals indicating a shift. A Democratic surge in the New York City metro area, unexpected redistricting developments, or late-cycle candidate controversies remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin, though such scenarios would require substantial deviation from established voting patterns in this Staten Island-centered district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$25,855 交易量
$25,855 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
94%
民主党
7%
$25,855 交易量
$25,855 交易量
2026-11-02
共和党
$12,761 交易量
94%
民主党
$13,094 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York’s 11th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, backed by the seat’s R+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit victories in prior cycles. Both major-party nominees advanced through June primaries without notable challenges, and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solidly Republican. Traders’ 93.5% consensus on the Republican outcome aligns with these structural factors and the absence of recent polling or fundraising signals indicating a shift. A Democratic surge in the New York City metro area, unexpected redistricting developments, or late-cycle candidate controversies remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin, though such scenarios would require substantial deviation from established voting patterns in this Staten Island-centered district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
交易量
$25,855结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York’s 11th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, backed by the seat’s R+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit victories in prior cycles. Both major-party nominees advanced through June primaries without notable challenges, and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solidly Republican. Traders’ 93.5% consensus on the Republican outcome aligns with these structural factors and the absence of recent polling or fundraising signals indicating a shift. A Democratic surge in the New York City metro area, unexpected redistricting developments, or late-cycle candidate controversies remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin, though such scenarios would require substantial deviation from established voting patterns in this Staten Island-centered district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$25,855结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York’s 11th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, backed by the seat’s R+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit victories in prior cycles. Both major-party nominees advanced through June primaries without notable challenges, and nonpartisan ratings classify the race as solidly Republican. Traders’ 93.5% consensus on the Republican outcome aligns with these structural factors and the absence of recent polling or fundraising signals indicating a shift. A Democratic surge in the New York City metro area, unexpected redistricting developments, or late-cycle candidate controversies remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin, though such scenarios would require substantial deviation from established voting patterns in this Staten Island-centered district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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