Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York's 11th Congressional District, a Staten Island-based swing seat that has trended rightward with its blue-collar voter base of police officers and firefighters, reflected in its R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index. The U.S. Supreme Court's March 2026 ruling preserving the current map—rejecting a lower-court finding of unconstitutionality—bolstered GOP advantages just months ago, solidifying trader consensus at 84.5% for a Republican win. Facing a fragmented Democratic primary on June 23 featuring underfunded challengers Michael DeCillis, Umar Usman, and Allison Ziogas, Malliotakis leads in fundraising with over $2.5 million cash on hand versus Democrats' combined under $100,000. Forecasters rate it Solid Republican, though national midterm dynamics or a unified Democratic nominee could narrow the path.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$13,419 交易量
$13,419 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
85%
民主党
14%
$13,419 交易量
$13,419 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$7,455 交易量
85%
民主党
$5,964 交易量
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York's 11th Congressional District, a Staten Island-based swing seat that has trended rightward with its blue-collar voter base of police officers and firefighters, reflected in its R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index. The U.S. Supreme Court's March 2026 ruling preserving the current map—rejecting a lower-court finding of unconstitutionality—bolstered GOP advantages just months ago, solidifying trader consensus at 84.5% for a Republican win. Facing a fragmented Democratic primary on June 23 featuring underfunded challengers Michael DeCillis, Umar Usman, and Allison Ziogas, Malliotakis leads in fundraising with over $2.5 million cash on hand versus Democrats' combined under $100,000. Forecasters rate it Solid Republican, though national midterm dynamics or a unified Democratic nominee could narrow the path.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
交易量
$13,419结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York's 11th Congressional District, a Staten Island-based swing seat that has trended rightward with its blue-collar voter base of police officers and firefighters, reflected in its R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index. The U.S. Supreme Court's March 2026 ruling preserving the current map—rejecting a lower-court finding of unconstitutionality—bolstered GOP advantages just months ago, solidifying trader consensus at 84.5% for a Republican win. Facing a fragmented Democratic primary on June 23 featuring underfunded challengers Michael DeCillis, Umar Usman, and Allison Ziogas, Malliotakis leads in fundraising with over $2.5 million cash on hand versus Democrats' combined under $100,000. Forecasters rate it Solid Republican, though national midterm dynamics or a unified Democratic nominee could narrow the path.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$13,419结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding position in New York's 11th Congressional District, a Staten Island-based swing seat that has trended rightward with its blue-collar voter base of police officers and firefighters, reflected in its R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index. The U.S. Supreme Court's March 2026 ruling preserving the current map—rejecting a lower-court finding of unconstitutionality—bolstered GOP advantages just months ago, solidifying trader consensus at 84.5% for a Republican win. Facing a fragmented Democratic primary on June 23 featuring underfunded challengers Michael DeCillis, Umar Usman, and Allison Ziogas, Malliotakis leads in fundraising with over $2.5 million cash on hand versus Democrats' combined under $100,000. Forecasters rate it Solid Republican, though national midterm dynamics or a unified Democratic nominee could narrow the path.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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