The strong Republican tilt of Texas's 11th congressional district, combined with incumbent August Pfluger's established position since 2021, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 93.5%. The district's rural West Texas base delivers consistent conservative margins, reinforced by Pfluger's uncontested or dominant primary performance in March 2026 and the limited profile of Democratic nominee Claire Reynolds, who advanced from her March primary. Historical voting patterns and the absence of major scandals or national shifts altering the race have kept probabilities stable in recent months. A Democratic upset would require an unusually broad national wave, significant late developments such as an incumbent health event or ethical controversy, or dramatic changes in turnout among key voter blocs that have not materialized in prior cycles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$32,175 交易量
$32,175 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
94%
民主党
6%
$32,175 交易量
$32,175 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$8,888 交易量
94%
民主党
$23,287 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican tilt of Texas's 11th congressional district, combined with incumbent August Pfluger's established position since 2021, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 93.5%. The district's rural West Texas base delivers consistent conservative margins, reinforced by Pfluger's uncontested or dominant primary performance in March 2026 and the limited profile of Democratic nominee Claire Reynolds, who advanced from her March primary. Historical voting patterns and the absence of major scandals or national shifts altering the race have kept probabilities stable in recent months. A Democratic upset would require an unusually broad national wave, significant late developments such as an incumbent health event or ethical controversy, or dramatic changes in turnout among key voter blocs that have not materialized in prior cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$32,175结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican tilt of Texas's 11th congressional district, combined with incumbent August Pfluger's established position since 2021, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 93.5%. The district's rural West Texas base delivers consistent conservative margins, reinforced by Pfluger's uncontested or dominant primary performance in March 2026 and the limited profile of Democratic nominee Claire Reynolds, who advanced from her March primary. Historical voting patterns and the absence of major scandals or national shifts altering the race have kept probabilities stable in recent months. A Democratic upset would require an unusually broad national wave, significant late developments such as an incumbent health event or ethical controversy, or dramatic changes in turnout among key voter blocs that have not materialized in prior cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$32,175结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Republican tilt of Texas's 11th congressional district, combined with incumbent August Pfluger's established position since 2021, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 93.5%. The district's rural West Texas base delivers consistent conservative margins, reinforced by Pfluger's uncontested or dominant primary performance in March 2026 and the limited profile of Democratic nominee Claire Reynolds, who advanced from her March primary. Historical voting patterns and the absence of major scandals or national shifts altering the race have kept probabilities stable in recent months. A Democratic upset would require an unusually broad national wave, significant late developments such as an incumbent health event or ethical controversy, or dramatic changes in turnout among key voter blocs that have not materialized in prior cycles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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