Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 91.5% in the TX-11 House race, reflecting the district's solidly Republican partisan lean in conservative West Texas energy counties, where Donald Trump won 65% in 2024 and incumbent August Pfluger secured 100% in both 2022 and 2024 general elections without Democratic opposition. Pfluger's unopposed March 3 Republican primary win locked in his nomination, while Claire Reynolds captured the Democratic nod by defeating Pedro Ruiz 57%-43%, though her $11,000 cash-on-hand pales against Pfluger's $2.8 million. Ratings from Cook Political Report and others maintain Solid Republican status. Realistic challenges would require a major Pfluger scandal, health issue, or extraordinary Democratic turnout surge before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$23,602 交易量
$23,602 交易量
共和党
92%
民主党
7%
$23,602 交易量
$23,602 交易量
共和党
92%
民主党
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Republican victory at 91.5% in the TX-11 House race, reflecting the district's solidly Republican partisan lean in conservative West Texas energy counties, where Donald Trump won 65% in 2024 and incumbent August Pfluger secured 100% in both 2022 and 2024 general elections without Democratic opposition. Pfluger's unopposed March 3 Republican primary win locked in his nomination, while Claire Reynolds captured the Democratic nod by defeating Pedro Ruiz 57%-43%, though her $11,000 cash-on-hand pales against Pfluger's $2.8 million. Ratings from Cook Political Report and others maintain Solid Republican status. Realistic challenges would require a major Pfluger scandal, health issue, or extraordinary Democratic turnout surge before the November 3 general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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