Incumbent Republican August Pfluger faces Democrat Claire Reynolds in the November 2026 general election for Texas’s 11th congressional district. The seat’s strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from nonpartisan analysts, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Pfluger advanced through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Reynolds secured the Democratic nomination after prevailing in her primary contest. Limited recent campaign activity or polling shifts have reinforced expectations of continuity in this safely held district. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Democratic national environment could theoretically narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical voting patterns in the district make such outcomes improbable without major unforeseen developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于TX-11 House Election Winner
$26,369 交易量
$26,369 交易量
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$26,369 交易量
$26,369 交易量
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican August Pfluger faces Democrat Claire Reynolds in the November 2026 general election for Texas’s 11th congressional district. The seat’s strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from nonpartisan analysts, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Pfluger advanced through the March 2026 Republican primary, while Reynolds secured the Democratic nomination after prevailing in her primary contest. Limited recent campaign activity or polling shifts have reinforced expectations of continuity in this safely held district. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Democratic national environment could theoretically narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical voting patterns in the district make such outcomes improbable without major unforeseen developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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