Dune: Part Three leads trader sentiment for the 2027 Oscars Best Visual Effects category at 56.5% implied probability, reflecting the franchise's established VFX pedigree under Denis Villeneuve and the December 2026 release positioning it as an early frontrunner. A crowded field of science-fiction and action spectacles, including Project Hail Mary, The Odyssey, Avengers: Doomsday, Spider-Man: Brand New Day, and Godzilla Minus Zero, clusters around lower odds, underscoring the competitive landscape where guild nominations, critical reception of effects work, and box-office performance will serve as key swing factors. With many films still in production or pre-release, market prices capture expectations around scale, innovation, and historical Academy voting patterns favoring ambitious visual achievements rather than any single confirmed outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于奥斯卡2027 :最佳视觉效果奖得主
沙丘:第三部 56%
拯救天堂计划 27%
奥德赛 8%
蜘蛛侠:全新纪元 5.1%
沙丘:第三部
56%
拯救天堂计划
22%
奥德赛
8%
蜘蛛侠:全新纪元
5%
复仇者联盟:末日
5%
哥斯拉-1.0
5%
沙丘:第三部 56%
拯救天堂计划 27%
奥德赛 8%
蜘蛛侠:全新纪元 5.1%
沙丘:第三部
56%
拯救天堂计划
22%
奥德赛
8%
蜘蛛侠:全新纪元
5%
复仇者联盟:末日
5%
哥斯拉-1.0
5%
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Aug 6, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Visual Effects.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Visual Effects when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Dune: Part Three leads trader sentiment for the 2027 Oscars Best Visual Effects category at 56.5% implied probability, reflecting the franchise's established VFX pedigree under Denis Villeneuve and the December 2026 release positioning it as an early frontrunner. A crowded field of science-fiction and action spectacles, including Project Hail Mary, The Odyssey, Avengers: Doomsday, Spider-Man: Brand New Day, and Godzilla Minus Zero, clusters around lower odds, underscoring the competitive landscape where guild nominations, critical reception of effects work, and box-office performance will serve as key swing factors. With many films still in production or pre-release, market prices capture expectations around scale, innovation, and historical Academy voting patterns favoring ambitious visual achievements rather than any single confirmed outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题