Persistent disagreements over Iran's uranium enrichment limits, its stockpile of highly enriched uranium, and verification measures continue to block progress toward a comprehensive nuclear agreement with the United States. Recent diplomatic exchanges, including Iran's review of a U.S. one-page memorandum proposing a temporary halt to hostilities and Strait of Hormuz reopening in exchange for later nuclear talks, have stalled after Washington rejected Tehran's counterproposal as unacceptable and imposed additional sanctions targeting Iranian oil operations. President Trump has signaled openness to a 20-year enrichment suspension with strong guarantees, yet Iranian officials maintain opposition to permanent curbs or facility closures, leaving core differences unresolved. With only two weeks remaining before the May 31 deadline, these entrenched positions on sanctions relief, missile constraints, and IAEA access underpin trader consensus favoring no agreement by that date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$666,901 交易量
$666,901 交易量
2026-05-31
$666,901 交易量
$666,901 交易量
2026-05-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Persistent disagreements over Iran's uranium enrichment limits, its stockpile of highly enriched uranium, and verification measures continue to block progress toward a comprehensive nuclear agreement with the United States. Recent diplomatic exchanges, including Iran's review of a U.S. one-page memorandum proposing a temporary halt to hostilities and Strait of Hormuz reopening in exchange for later nuclear talks, have stalled after Washington rejected Tehran's counterproposal as unacceptable and imposed additional sanctions targeting Iranian oil operations. President Trump has signaled openness to a 20-year enrichment suspension with strong guarantees, yet Iranian officials maintain opposition to permanent curbs or facility closures, leaving core differences unresolved. With only two weeks remaining before the May 31 deadline, these entrenched positions on sanctions relief, missile constraints, and IAEA access underpin trader consensus favoring no agreement by that date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
市场开放时间： Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ET
交易量
$666,901结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Persistent disagreements over Iran's uranium enrichment limits, its stockpile of highly enriched uranium, and verification measures continue to block progress toward a comprehensive nuclear agreement with the United States. Recent diplomatic exchanges, including Iran's review of a U.S. one-page memorandum proposing a temporary halt to hostilities and Strait of Hormuz reopening in exchange for later nuclear talks, have stalled after Washington rejected Tehran's counterproposal as unacceptable and imposed additional sanctions targeting Iranian oil operations. President Trump has signaled openness to a 20-year enrichment suspension with strong guarantees, yet Iranian officials maintain opposition to permanent curbs or facility closures, leaving core differences unresolved. With only two weeks remaining before the May 31 deadline, these entrenched positions on sanctions relief, missile constraints, and IAEA access underpin trader consensus favoring no agreement by that date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
交易量
$666,901结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
Apr 28, 2026, 10:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent disagreements over Iran's uranium enrichment limits, its stockpile of highly enriched uranium, and verification measures continue to block progress toward a comprehensive nuclear agreement with the United States. Recent diplomatic exchanges, including Iran's review of a U.S. one-page memorandum proposing a temporary halt to hostilities and Strait of Hormuz reopening in exchange for later nuclear talks, have stalled after Washington rejected Tehran's counterproposal as unacceptable and imposed additional sanctions targeting Iranian oil operations. President Trump has signaled openness to a 20-year enrichment suspension with strong guarantees, yet Iranian officials maintain opposition to permanent curbs or facility closures, leaving core differences unresolved. With only two weeks remaining before the May 31 deadline, these entrenched positions on sanctions relief, missile constraints, and IAEA access underpin trader consensus favoring no agreement by that date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题