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What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?

icon for What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?

What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?

最新
2026-09-09
Polymarket

$329 交易量

Polymarket

AI / Artificial Intelligence 10+ times

$0 交易量

26%

Million / Billion / Trillion 10+ times

$0 交易量

26%

Fold / Folding / Foldable 10+ times

$60 交易量

31%

One More Thing 3+ times

$0 交易量

25%

Battery Life 3+ times

$0 交易量

34%

Steve Jobs

$0 交易量

24%

Flexible

$0 交易量

46%

Hardware

$0 交易量

64%

Chip

$0 交易量

32%

Aluminum

$0 交易量

50%

Apple TV

$0 交易量

22%

AirPods Pro

$0 交易量

16%

Afford / Affordable

$0 交易量

21%

Apple Intelligence

$9 交易量

81%

AirTag

$0 交易量

21%

-No Qualifying Event-

$260 交易量

2%

John Ternus is scheduled to participate in Apple's "Surprise and Shine" event on September 9, 2026, 1 PM ET (https://www.apple.com/apple-events/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Ternus says the listed term at any point during the event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If John Ternus does not speak during the event, the event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfJohn Ternus's first Apple keynote as CEO on September 9 will shape trader views, following his September 1 transition from hardware engineering lead and Tim Cook's exit. His internal memo highlighted a "huge launch next week that's going to be phenomenal," directly referencing the "Surprise and Shine" event expected to unveil the iPhone 18 Pro series, the first foldable iPhone (often called iPhone Ultra), updated Apple Watches, and further Apple Intelligence features building on the June WWDC Siri AI overhaul with Gemini integration. Traders focus on hardware-centric language from his engineering background, potential emphasis on product innovation or ecosystem integration, and any signals on post-Cook strategy amid competitive AI and device pressures. The event's proximity heightens sensitivity to pre-event leaks or supply chain reports on foldable production volumes.

John Ternus is scheduled to participate in Apple's "Surprise and Shine" event on September 9, 2026, 1 PM ET (https://www.apple.com/apple-events/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Ternus says the listed term at any point during the event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If John Ternus does not speak during the event, the event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be video of the event.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
交易量
$329
结束日期
2026-09-09
市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 8:19 PM ET
John Ternus is scheduled to participate in Apple's "Surprise and Shine" event on September 9, 2026, 1 PM ET (https://www.apple.com/apple-events/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Ternus says the listed term at any point during the event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If John Ternus does not speak during the event, the event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
John Ternus is scheduled to participate in Apple's "Surprise and Shine" event on September 9, 2026, 1 PM ET (https://www.apple.com/apple-events/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Ternus says the listed term at any point during the event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If John Ternus does not speak during the event, the event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfJohn Ternus's first Apple keynote as CEO on September 9 will shape trader views, following his September 1 transition from hardware engineering lead and Tim Cook's exit. His internal memo highlighted a "huge launch next week that's going to be phenomenal," directly referencing the "Surprise and Shine" event expected to unveil the iPhone 18 Pro series, the first foldable iPhone (often called iPhone Ultra), updated Apple Watches, and further Apple Intelligence features building on the June WWDC Siri AI overhaul with Gemini integration. Traders focus on hardware-centric language from his engineering background, potential emphasis on product innovation or ecosystem integration, and any signals on post-Cook strategy amid competitive AI and device pressures. The event's proximity heightens sensitivity to pre-event leaks or supply chain reports on foldable production volumes.

John Ternus is scheduled to participate in Apple's "Surprise and Shine" event on September 9, 2026, 1 PM ET (https://www.apple.com/apple-events/).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Ternus says the listed term at any point during the event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If John Ternus does not speak during the event, the event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be video of the event.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
交易量
$329
结束日期
2026-09-09
市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 8:19 PM ET
John Ternus is scheduled to participate in Apple's "Surprise and Shine" event on September 9, 2026, 1 PM ET (https://www.apple.com/apple-events/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Ternus says the listed term at any point during the event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If John Ternus does not speak during the event, the event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 16 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Apple Intelligence",概率为 81%,其次是"Hardware",概率为 64%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 81¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 81%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Sep 2, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 16 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?"的当前领先者是"Apple Intelligence",概率为 81%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 81%。紧随其后的结果是"Hardware",概率为 64%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。