Apple has officially scheduled its “Surprise and Shine” event for September 9, 2026, with invitations and internal preparations confirming the timing. Multiple credible reports indicate the company will unveil its first foldable iPhone—widely expected as the iPhone Ultra or similar book-style model with a roughly 5.5-inch outer display opening to about 7.8 inches—alongside the iPhone 18 Pro lineup under new CEO John Ternus. This aligns with supply-chain progress, iOS 27 software hints for dynamic screen handling, and Apple’s decision to split the traditional fall iPhone cycle. Trader consensus reflects the event’s proximity and consistent sourcing, though last-minute production or announcement adjustments remain theoretically possible before the keynote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
96% 概率
$13,523 交易量
$13,523 交易量
2026-09-09
是
96% 概率
$13,523 交易量
$13,523 交易量
2026-09-09
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple has officially scheduled its “Surprise and Shine” event for September 9, 2026, with invitations and internal preparations confirming the timing. Multiple credible reports indicate the company will unveil its first foldable iPhone—widely expected as the iPhone Ultra or similar book-style model with a roughly 5.5-inch outer display opening to about 7.8 inches—alongside the iPhone 18 Pro lineup under new CEO John Ternus. This aligns with supply-chain progress, iOS 27 software hints for dynamic screen handling, and Apple’s decision to split the traditional fall iPhone cycle. Trader consensus reflects the event’s proximity and consistent sourcing, though last-minute production or announcement adjustments remain theoretically possible before the keynote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Sep 2, 2026, 8:11 PM ET
交易量
$13,523结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 8:11 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple has officially scheduled its “Surprise and Shine” event for September 9, 2026, with invitations and internal preparations confirming the timing. Multiple credible reports indicate the company will unveil its first foldable iPhone—widely expected as the iPhone Ultra or similar book-style model with a roughly 5.5-inch outer display opening to about 7.8 inches—alongside the iPhone 18 Pro lineup under new CEO John Ternus. This aligns with supply-chain progress, iOS 27 software hints for dynamic screen handling, and Apple’s decision to split the traditional fall iPhone cycle. Trader consensus reflects the event’s proximity and consistent sourcing, though last-minute production or announcement adjustments remain theoretically possible before the keynote.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify.
Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone.
If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$13,523结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 2, 2026, 8:11 PM ETApple has officially scheduled its “Surprise and Shine” event for September 9, 2026, with invitations and internal preparations confirming the timing. Multiple credible reports indicate the company will unveil its first foldable iPhone—widely expected as the iPhone Ultra or similar book-style model with a roughly 5.5-inch outer display opening to about 7.8 inches—alongside the iPhone 18 Pro lineup under new CEO John Ternus. This aligns with supply-chain progress, iOS 27 software hints for dynamic screen handling, and Apple’s decision to split the traditional fall iPhone cycle. Trader consensus reflects the event’s proximity and consistent sourcing, though last-minute production or announcement adjustments remain theoretically possible before the keynote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题