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Economy·Big Tech

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

icon for Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
Economy·Big Tech

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

$698,321 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$698,321 交易量

Polymarket
icon for Sam Altman - OpenAI

Sam Altman - OpenAI

$87,627 交易量

13%

icon for Dan Clancy - Twitch

Dan Clancy - Twitch

$43,891 交易量

9%

icon for Brian Armstrong - Coinbase

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase

$82,955 交易量

8%

icon for Sundar Pichai - Google

Sundar Pichai - Google

$38,424 交易量

5%

icon for Andy Jassy - Amazon

Andy Jassy - Amazon

$28,438 交易量

5%

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.Elevated CEO turnover across tech, reaching record levels in 2025 and continuing into 2026, reflects intensifying board and investor pressure for faster results amid AI transitions and competitive shifts. Recent announcements include Tim Cook’s planned departure from Apple by September 2026, with John Ternus succeeding him, aligning with market-implied certainty near 100%. Broader dynamics show shorter tenures—averaging under 8 years—and spikes in tech sector exits tied to performance gaps and adaptation challenges. Traders should monitor upcoming earnings calls, regulatory scrutiny on AI, and potential leadership changes at firms like OpenAI, where implied odds for Sam Altman remain low around 13%, as new catalysts could quickly shift consensus before the 2027 cutoff.

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
交易量
$698,321
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.Elevated CEO turnover across tech, reaching record levels in 2025 and continuing into 2026, reflects intensifying board and investor pressure for faster results amid AI transitions and competitive shifts. Recent announcements include Tim Cook’s planned departure from Apple by September 2026, with John Ternus succeeding him, aligning with market-implied certainty near 100%. Broader dynamics show shorter tenures—averaging under 8 years—and spikes in tech sector exits tied to performance gaps and adaptation challenges. Traders should monitor upcoming earnings calls, regulatory scrutiny on AI, and potential leadership changes at firms like OpenAI, where implied odds for Sam Altman remain low around 13%, as new catalysts could quickly shift consensus before the 2027 cutoff.

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
交易量
$698,321
结束日期
2026-12-31
市场开放时间
Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Which CEOs will be out before 2027?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 6 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Tim Cook - Apple"，概率为 100%，其次是"Sam Altman - OpenAI"，概率为 13%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Which CEOs will be out before 2027?"已产生 $698.3K 的总交易量（自Nov 18, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Which CEOs will be out before 2027?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 6 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Which CEOs will be out before 2027?"的当前领先者是"Tim Cook - Apple"，概率为 100%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"Sam Altman - OpenAI"，概率为 13%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Which CEOs will be out before 2027?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。